DDM Analysis: 1579.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$165.86 - $316.46	$296.57
Multi-Stage	$51.05 - $55.80	$53.38
Blended Fair Value	$174.98
Current Price	$12.68
Upside	1,279.93%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	46.20%	39.94%	1.02	0.18	0.23	0.25	0.21	0.15	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	453.61%	-20.15%	-7.79%	19.58%	37.01%	207.81%	42.05%	0.00%	-100.00%	36.58%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.23%	1.72%	0.95%	0.85%	0.22%	0.38%	0.30%	0.53%	0.00%	1.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,543.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,373.47
(=) Cash Retained (M)	170.31

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	308.76	192.97	115.78
Cash Retained (M)	170.31	170.31	170.31
(-) Cash Required (M)	-308.76	-192.97	-115.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-138.45	-22.67	54.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	970.17	970.17	970.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.14	-0.02	0.06
LTM Dividend per Share	1.42	1.42	1.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.14	-0.02	0.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.27	1.39	1.47
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$165.86	$296.57	$316.46
Upside / Downside	1,208.06%	2,238.86%	2,395.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,543.78	1,644.12	1,750.99	1,864.80	1,986.02	2,115.11	2,178.56
Payout Ratio	88.97%	89.17%	89.38%	89.59%	89.79%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,373.47	1,466.14	1,565.05	1,670.63	1,783.32	1,903.60	2,015.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.31%	6.31%	6.31%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,366.17	1,379.12	1,392.07
Year 2 PV (M)	1,358.90	1,384.79	1,410.91
Year 3 PV (M)	1,351.67	1,390.47	1,430.00
Year 4 PV (M)	1,344.46	1,396.16	1,449.35
Year 5 PV (M)	1,337.29	1,401.88	1,468.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)	42,773.06	44,839.01	46,984.04
Equity Value (M)	49,531.54	51,791.43	54,135.31
Shares Outstanding (M)	970.17	970.17	970.17
Fair Value	$51.05	$53.38	$55.80
Upside / Downside	302.64%	321.01%	340.06%

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Yihai International Holding Ltd. (1579.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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