Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Secuve Co., Ltd. (131090.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,020.94 - $2,763.37$2,397.40
Multi-Stage$3,440.58 - $3,781.79$3,607.82
Blended Fair Value$3,002.61
Current Price$4,350.00
Upside-30.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%128.92134.15127.6372.6645.830.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---3.90%5.11%75.65%58.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.23%2.71%2.26%1.01%0.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,965.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)956.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,009.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)593.19370.75222.45
Cash Retained (M)2,009.302,009.302,009.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-593.19-370.75-222.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,416.111,638.561,786.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.647.647.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share185.29214.40233.80
LTM Dividend per Share125.18125.18125.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share185.29214.40233.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend310.47339.58358.98
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate-4.73%-3.73%-2.73%
Fair Value$2,020.94$2,397.40$2,763.37
Upside / Downside-53.54%-44.89%-36.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,965.962,855.362,748.892,646.382,547.702,452.702,526.28
Payout Ratio32.25%43.80%55.35%66.90%78.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)956.661,250.751,521.581,770.481,998.692,207.432,336.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate-4.73%-3.73%-2.73%
Year 1 PV (M)1,126.191,138.011,149.83
Year 2 PV (M)1,233.601,259.631,285.94
Year 3 PV (M)1,292.431,333.561,375.55
Year 4 PV (M)1,313.721,369.751,427.55
Year 5 PV (M)1,306.421,376.431,449.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,022.3321,095.4322,214.06
Equity Value (M)26,294.6827,572.8128,902.34
Shares Outstanding (M)7.647.647.64
Fair Value$3,440.58$3,607.82$3,781.79
Upside / Downside-20.91%-17.06%-13.06%

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