DDM Analysis: 1184.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$129.93 - $285.11	$267.19
Multi-Stage	$43.32 - $47.39	$45.32
Blended Fair Value	$156.25
Current Price	$4.07
Upside	3,739.16%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	14.87%	10.52%	0.40	0.35	0.40	0.32	0.21	0.20	0.20	0.16	0.08	0.11
YoY Growth	-	-	14.29%	-12.50%	26.98%	46.51%	7.50%	-0.99%	24.14%	103.90%	-30.43%	-22.03%
Dividend Yield	-	-	9.57%	10.00%	10.53%	6.06%	7.17%	7.58%	8.56%	6.26%	5.02%	7.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	897.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	469.38
(=) Cash Retained (M)	427.83

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	179.44	112.15	67.29
Cash Retained (M)	427.83	427.83	427.83
(-) Cash Required (M)	-179.44	-112.15	-67.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)	248.39	315.68	360.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	625.84	625.84	625.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.40	0.50	0.58
LTM Dividend per Share	0.75	0.75	0.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.40	0.50	0.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.15	1.25	1.33
WACC / Discount Rate	6.43%	6.43%	6.43%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$129.93	$267.19	$285.11
Upside / Downside	3,092.29%	6,464.87%	6,905.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	897.21	955.53	1,017.64	1,083.78	1,154.23	1,229.26	1,266.13
Payout Ratio	52.32%	59.85%	67.39%	74.93%	82.46%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	469.38	571.91	685.78	812.04	951.81	1,106.33	1,171.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.43%	6.43%	6.43%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	532.30	537.35	542.39
Year 2 PV (M)	594.09	605.40	616.83
Year 3 PV (M)	654.75	673.55	692.70
Year 4 PV (M)	714.31	741.78	770.03
Year 5 PV (M)	772.77	810.10	848.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)	23,841.49	24,993.04	26,188.67
Equity Value (M)	27,109.71	28,361.22	29,659.47
Shares Outstanding (M)	625.84	625.84	625.84
Fair Value	$43.32	$45.32	$47.39
Upside / Downside	964.31%	1,013.45%	1,064.41%

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S.A.S. Dragon Holdings Limited (1184.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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