DDM Analysis: 1157.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.58 - $7.24	$5.80
Multi-Stage	$9.28 - $10.18	$9.72
Blended Fair Value	$7.76
Current Price	$5.32
Upside	45.83%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.46%	4.12%	0.39	0.38	0.42	0.45	0.30	0.40	0.31	0.31	0.31	0.23
YoY Growth	-	-	3.16%	-10.32%	-6.17%	51.01%	-25.46%	28.23%	2.51%	-0.82%	31.10%	-10.36%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.35%	7.80%	11.67%	11.17%	3.20%	7.79%	9.04%	12.71%	8.34%	9.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,997.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3,581.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)	415.80

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	799.42	499.64	299.78
Cash Retained (M)	415.80	415.80	415.80
(-) Cash Required (M)	-799.42	-499.64	-299.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-383.62	-83.84	116.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	8,745.87	8,745.87	8,745.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.04	-0.01	0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.41	0.41	0.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.04	-0.01	0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.37	0.40	0.42
WACC / Discount Rate	6.88%	6.88%	6.88%
Growth Rate	-1.02%	-0.02%	0.98%
Fair Value	$4.58	$5.80	$7.24
Upside / Downside	-13.88%	8.93%	36.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,997.11	3,996.43	3,995.75	3,995.07	3,994.39	3,993.71	4,113.52
Payout Ratio	89.60%	89.68%	89.76%	89.84%	89.92%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3,581.31	3,583.92	3,586.52	3,589.13	3,591.73	3,594.34	3,805.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.88%	6.88%	6.88%
Growth Rate	-1.02%	-0.02%	0.98%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,319.60	3,353.14	3,386.67
Year 2 PV (M)	3,077.01	3,139.50	3,202.61
Year 3 PV (M)	2,852.15	2,939.47	3,028.56
Year 4 PV (M)	2,643.72	2,752.19	2,863.95
Year 5 PV (M)	2,450.52	2,576.83	2,708.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)	66,816.23	70,260.26	73,844.86
Equity Value (M)	81,159.23	85,021.38	89,034.95
Shares Outstanding (M)	8,745.87	8,745.87	8,745.87
Fair Value	$9.28	$9.72	$10.18
Upside / Downside	74.43%	82.73%	91.36%

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NEOE3.SA	Neoenergia S.A.	2.43%	$0.77	21.26%
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601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
9550.SR	Sure Global Tech Company	2.42%	$1.52	28.67%
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NMAN.ST	Nederman Holding AB (publ)	2.42%	$4.00	47.45%
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0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
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Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (1157.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener