DDM Analysis: 1118.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$10.47 - $23.89	$15.25
Multi-Stage	$13.82 - $15.18	$14.48
Blended Fair Value	$14.87
Current Price	$0.98
Upside	1,417.22%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	60.23%	3.61%	0.06	0.06	0.10	0.06	0.02	0.01	0.04	0.04	0.05	0.05
YoY Growth	-	-	9.09%	-45.00%	81.82%	174.99%	252.07%	-85.48%	-11.11%	-10.00%	0.00%	16.28%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.23%	7.86%	12.20%	5.29%	2.99%	0.98%	5.44%	4.49%	5.15%	5.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	304.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	66.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)	238.45

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	60.90	38.06	22.84
Cash Retained (M)	238.45	238.45	238.45
(-) Cash Required (M)	-60.90	-38.06	-22.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)	177.55	200.38	215.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	574.38	574.38	574.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.31	0.35	0.38
LTM Dividend per Share	0.12	0.12	0.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.31	0.35	0.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.42	0.46	0.49
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	2.21%	3.21%	4.21%
Fair Value	$10.47	$15.25	$23.89
Upside / Downside	968.76%	1,456.46%	2,338.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	304.50	314.28	324.36	334.78	345.52	356.62	367.32
Payout Ratio	21.69%	35.35%	49.02%	62.68%	76.34%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	66.05	111.11	158.99	209.83	263.77	320.96	339.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	2.21%	3.21%	4.21%
Year 1 PV (M)	103.46	104.48	105.49
Year 2 PV (M)	137.86	140.57	143.31
Year 3 PV (M)	169.43	174.45	179.57
Year 4 PV (M)	198.32	206.20	214.31
Year 5 PV (M)	224.72	235.93	247.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,103.37	7,457.72	7,826.08
Equity Value (M)	7,937.16	8,319.35	8,716.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	574.38	574.38	574.38
Fair Value	$13.82	$14.48	$15.18
Upside / Downside	1,310.07%	1,377.97%	1,448.50%

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Golik Holdings Limited (1118.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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