DDM Analysis: 0QQ6.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$228.32 - $376.58	$294.14
Multi-Stage	$604.94 - $665.88	$634.81
Blended Fair Value	$464.48
Current Price	$258.40
Upside	79.75%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.53%	1.31%	9.52	9.45	9.27	9.68	9.59	9.27	9.03	8.89	8.76	8.66
YoY Growth	-	-	0.79%	1.93%	-4.21%	0.95%	3.37%	2.70%	1.58%	1.42%	1.24%	3.51%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.73%	3.86%	3.19%	2.55%	3.10%	2.95%	3.62%	3.61%	3.77%	3.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	16,343.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	11,542.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)	4,800.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3,268.60	2,042.88	1,225.73
Cash Retained (M)	4,800.50	4,800.50	4,800.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3,268.60	-2,042.88	-1,225.73
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,531.90	2,757.63	3,574.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	803.25	803.25	803.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.91	3.43	4.45
LTM Dividend per Share	14.37	14.37	14.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.91	3.43	4.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend	16.28	17.80	18.82
WACC / Discount Rate	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%
Growth Rate	-1.47%	-0.47%	0.53%
Fair Value	$228.32	$294.14	$376.58
Upside / Downside	-11.64%	13.83%	45.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	16,343.00	16,266.83	16,191.02	16,115.56	16,040.45	15,965.69	16,444.66
Payout Ratio	70.63%	74.50%	78.38%	82.25%	86.13%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	11,542.50	12,118.99	12,689.86	13,255.15	13,814.89	14,369.12	15,211.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.56%	5.56%	5.56%
Growth Rate	-1.47%	-0.47%	0.53%
Year 1 PV (M)	11,365.51	11,480.85	11,596.20
Year 2 PV (M)	11,160.96	11,388.65	11,618.64
Year 3 PV (M)	10,933.30	11,269.57	11,612.67
Year 4 PV (M)	10,686.52	11,126.99	11,580.94
Year 5 PV (M)	10,424.17	10,963.98	11,525.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)	431,346.88	453,683.93	476,936.91
Equity Value (M)	485,917.34	509,913.98	534,871.28
Shares Outstanding (M)	803.25	803.25	803.25
Fair Value	$604.94	$634.81	$665.88
Upside / Downside	134.11%	145.67%	157.70%

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Roche Holding AG (0QQ6.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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