DDM Analysis: 0OPJ.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$8.95 - $14.24	$11.36
Multi-Stage	$17.76 - $19.52	$18.62
Blended Fair Value	$14.99
Current Price	$6.34
Upside	136.44%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-6.63%	9.04%	0.30	0.41	0.40	0.42	0.32	0.42	0.39	0.43	0.25	0.25
YoY Growth	-	-	-27.01%	2.90%	-5.98%	31.21%	-23.41%	7.68%	-9.81%	70.38%	1.78%	98.90%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.22%	8.49%	6.15%	5.91%	4.43%	6.27%	6.41%	6.83%	3.53%	4.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	52.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	29.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)	22.50

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	10.44	6.52	3.91
Cash Retained (M)	22.50	22.50	22.50
(-) Cash Required (M)	-10.44	-6.52	-3.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)	12.07	15.98	18.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	59.70	59.70	59.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.20	0.27	0.31
LTM Dividend per Share	0.50	0.50	0.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.20	0.27	0.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.70	0.76	0.81
WACC / Discount Rate	6.78%	6.78%	6.78%
Growth Rate	-0.95%	0.05%	1.05%
Fair Value	$8.95	$11.36	$14.24
Upside / Downside	41.19%	79.14%	124.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	52.18	52.20	52.22	52.25	52.27	52.30	53.87
Payout Ratio	56.87%	63.49%	70.12%	76.75%	83.37%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	29.67	33.14	36.62	40.10	43.58	47.07	49.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.78%	6.78%	6.78%
Growth Rate	-0.95%	0.05%	1.05%
Year 1 PV (M)	30.73	31.04	31.35
Year 2 PV (M)	31.48	32.11	32.76
Year 3 PV (M)	31.95	32.93	33.93
Year 4 PV (M)	32.20	33.52	34.88
Year 5 PV (M)	32.24	33.90	35.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)	901.76	948.21	996.55
Equity Value (M)	1,060.36	1,111.71	1,165.10
Shares Outstanding (M)	59.70	59.70	59.70
Fair Value	$17.76	$18.62	$19.52
Upside / Downside	180.17%	193.74%	207.84%

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Financial Statements

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ABC arbitrage S.A. (0OPJ.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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