Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Ticker

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Sector

Snap-on Incorporated (0L7G.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Capital GoodsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$755.11 - $3,786.90$1,572.70
Multi-Stage$425.70 - $465.35$445.16
Blended Fair Value$1,008.93
Current Price$341.91
Upside195.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.41%14.21%7.646.685.885.184.574.073.613.182.772.40
YoY Growth--14.29%13.57%13.52%13.36%12.33%12.81%13.34%14.85%15.32%18.87%
Dividend Yield--2.32%2.26%2.38%2.54%1.97%3.77%2.30%2.16%1.64%1.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,014.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)447.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)566.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)202.86126.7976.07
Cash Retained (M)566.50566.50566.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-202.86-126.79-76.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)363.64439.71490.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)53.2353.2353.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.838.269.21
LTM Dividend per Share8.418.418.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.838.269.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.2516.6717.63
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Fair Value$755.11$1,572.70$3,786.90
Upside / Downside120.85%359.97%1,007.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,014.301,079.361,148.591,222.261,300.661,384.081,425.60
Payout Ratio44.15%53.32%62.49%71.66%80.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)447.80575.50717.74875.871,051.321,245.671,318.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.41%6.41%7.41%
Year 1 PV (M)530.11535.14540.17
Year 2 PV (M)608.99620.60632.32
Year 3 PV (M)684.54704.20724.24
Year 4 PV (M)756.86785.99815.95
Year 5 PV (M)826.05865.98907.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,251.3220,181.9421,148.20
Equity Value (M)22,657.8623,693.8524,768.33
Shares Outstanding (M)53.2353.2353.23
Fair Value$425.70$445.16$465.35
Upside / Downside24.51%30.20%36.10%

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