DDM Analysis: 0K4C.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$212.70 - $842.66	$362.03
Multi-Stage	$133.34 - $145.75	$139.43
Blended Fair Value	$250.73
Current Price	$161.95
Upside	54.82%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	66.13%	7.53%	2.02	1.90	1.65	1.59	1.47	0.16	0.18	0.19	0.38	1.00
YoY Growth	-	-	6.30%	14.76%	4.08%	8.14%	821.88%	-13.51%	-2.63%	-50.00%	-62.19%	2.55%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.11%	2.70%	4.82%	4.14%	3.89%	0.58%	0.44%	0.62%	2.02%	7.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,441.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	409.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,032.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	288.20	180.13	108.08
Cash Retained (M)	1,032.00	1,032.00	1,032.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-288.20	-180.13	-108.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)	743.80	851.88	923.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	200.88	200.88	200.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.70	4.24	4.60
LTM Dividend per Share	2.04	2.04	2.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.70	4.24	4.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.74	6.28	6.64
WACC / Discount Rate	8.35%	8.35%	8.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$212.70	$362.03	$842.66
Upside / Downside	31.34%	123.54%	420.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,441.00	1,534.67	1,634.42	1,740.66	1,853.80	1,974.29	2,033.52
Payout Ratio	28.38%	40.71%	53.03%	65.35%	77.68%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	409.00	624.71	866.73	1,137.57	1,439.97	1,776.87	1,881.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.35%	8.35%	8.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	571.17	576.58	582.00
Year 2 PV (M)	724.53	738.34	752.27
Year 3 PV (M)	869.45	894.41	919.84
Year 4 PV (M)	1,006.25	1,044.94	1,084.75
Year 5 PV (M)	1,135.26	1,190.09	1,247.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)	22,478.12	23,563.82	24,691.07
Equity Value (M)	26,784.77	28,008.18	29,276.94
Shares Outstanding (M)	200.88	200.88	200.88
Fair Value	$133.34	$139.43	$145.75
Upside / Downside	-17.67%	-13.90%	-10.00%

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NRG Energy, Inc. (0K4C.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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