DDM Analysis: 0EWR.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$76.11 - $334.37	$181.26
Multi-Stage	$39.43 - $43.10	$41.23
Blended Fair Value	$111.25
Current Price	$38.00
Upside	192.76%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	39.09%	-1.48%	0.70	0.70	0.55	0.55	0.41	0.13	0.24	0.22	0.22	0.81
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.27%	26.84%	0.20%	35.33%	203.46%	-43.15%	6.18%	0.78%	-72.82%	0.12%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.71%	1.84%	1.83%	1.50%	1.17%	0.67%	1.83%	1.11%	1.52%	5.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	16.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	7.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)	8.71

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3.33	2.08	1.25
Cash Retained (M)	8.71	8.71	8.71
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3.33	-2.08	-1.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	5.38	6.63	7.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	9.90	9.90	9.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.54	0.67	0.75
LTM Dividend per Share	0.80	0.80	0.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.54	0.67	0.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.35	1.47	1.56
WACC / Discount Rate	7.36%	7.36%	7.36%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$76.11	$181.26	$334.37
Upside / Downside	100.30%	377.00%	779.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	16.65	17.73	18.89	20.11	21.42	22.81	23.50
Payout Ratio	47.67%	56.14%	64.60%	73.07%	81.53%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	7.94	9.96	12.20	14.70	17.47	20.53	21.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.36%	7.36%	7.36%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	9.19	9.27	9.36
Year 2 PV (M)	10.39	10.58	10.78
Year 3 PV (M)	11.54	11.88	12.21
Year 4 PV (M)	12.66	13.14	13.65
Year 5 PV (M)	13.73	14.39	15.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)	333.01	349.10	365.80
Equity Value (M)	390.51	408.37	426.88
Shares Outstanding (M)	9.90	9.90	9.90
Fair Value	$39.43	$41.23	$43.10
Upside / Downside	3.77%	8.51%	13.43%

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init innovation in traffic systems SE (0EWR.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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