DDM Analysis: 0855.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$47.15 - $214.94	$107.79
Multi-Stage	$32.52 - $35.60	$34.03
Blended Fair Value	$70.91
Current Price	$6.70
Upside	958.37%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-1.02%	18.29%	0.28	0.34	0.18	0.32	0.30	0.29	0.27	0.23	0.08	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	-17.65%	88.89%	-43.75%	6.14%	2.27%	10.77%	13.39%	184.33%	26.64%	24.86%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.18%	6.77%	2.81%	3.73%	4.74%	5.07%	3.26%	2.94%	1.61%	2.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,782.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,012.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)	770.27

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	356.46	222.79	133.67
Cash Retained (M)	770.27	770.27	770.27
(-) Cash Required (M)	-356.46	-222.79	-133.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)	413.81	547.48	636.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,632.06	1,632.06	1,632.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.25	0.34	0.39
LTM Dividend per Share	0.62	0.62	0.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.25	0.34	0.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.87	0.96	1.01
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	4.39%	5.39%	6.39%
Fair Value	$47.15	$107.79	$214.94
Upside / Downside	603.72%	1,508.80%	3,108.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,782.31	1,878.35	1,979.57	2,086.25	2,198.67	2,317.15	2,386.66
Payout Ratio	56.78%	63.43%	70.07%	76.71%	83.36%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,012.04	1,191.36	1,387.08	1,600.42	1,832.73	2,085.43	2,207.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.32%	6.32%	6.32%
Growth Rate	4.39%	5.39%	6.39%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,109.88	1,120.51	1,131.15
Year 2 PV (M)	1,203.83	1,227.00	1,250.40
Year 3 PV (M)	1,293.99	1,331.54	1,369.80
Year 4 PV (M)	1,380.47	1,434.14	1,489.35
Year 5 PV (M)	1,463.38	1,534.83	1,609.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)	46,619.32	48,895.48	51,259.69
Equity Value (M)	53,070.87	55,543.50	58,109.43
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,632.06	1,632.06	1,632.06
Fair Value	$32.52	$34.03	$35.60
Upside / Downside	385.34%	407.95%	431.42%

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China Water Affairs Group Limited (0855.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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