Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dah Sing Financial Holdings Limited (0440.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$87.55 - $127.79$106.99
Multi-Stage$163.46 - $179.75$171.45
Blended Fair Value$139.22
Current Price$29.75
Upside367.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.51%7.24%2.551.171.061.001.351.481.488.321.351.33
YoY Growth--118.55%10.17%6.00%-25.93%-8.78%0.11%-82.26%516.28%1.57%4.96%
Dividend Yield--9.07%7.38%5.85%4.23%6.17%4.81%3.81%16.38%2.57%3.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,749.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,306.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,442.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)749.91468.69281.22
Cash Retained (M)2,442.802,442.802,442.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-749.91-468.69-281.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,692.901,974.112,161.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)320.16320.16320.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.296.176.75
LTM Dividend per Share4.084.084.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.296.176.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.3710.2510.83
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate-2.46%-1.46%-0.46%
Fair Value$87.55$106.99$127.79
Upside / Downside194.28%259.63%329.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,749.543,694.813,640.883,587.733,535.363,483.763,588.27
Payout Ratio34.85%45.88%56.91%67.94%78.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,306.731,695.192,072.032,437.512,791.883,135.383,319.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate-2.46%-1.46%-0.46%
Year 1 PV (M)1,554.001,569.931,585.86
Year 2 PV (M)1,741.251,777.131,813.39
Year 3 PV (M)1,877.771,936.121,995.66
Year 4 PV (M)1,971.632,053.732,138.38
Year 5 PV (M)2,029.792,135.992,246.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)43,158.6145,416.7947,768.51
Equity Value (M)52,333.0454,889.7057,548.40
Shares Outstanding (M)320.16320.16320.16
Fair Value$163.46$171.45$179.75
Upside / Downside449.45%476.29%504.20%

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