DDM Analysis: 0267.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$117.52 - $595.25	$210.57
Multi-Stage	$104.31 - $114.36	$109.24
Blended Fair Value	$159.90
Current Price	$10.78
Upside	1,383.35%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	3.60%	-3.90%	0.52	0.65	0.64	0.54	0.39	0.44	0.40	0.34	0.30	0.27
YoY Growth	-	-	-19.76%	2.45%	18.70%	39.74%	-12.49%	9.99%	17.65%	13.34%	10.61%	-65.30%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.07%	8.39%	7.75%	6.99%	7.01%	4.22%	3.26%	2.99%	2.70%	1.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	107,374.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	35,599.61
(=) Cash Retained (M)	71,774.89

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	21,474.90	13,421.81	8,053.09
Cash Retained (M)	71,774.89	71,774.89	71,774.89
(-) Cash Required (M)	-21,474.90	-13,421.81	-8,053.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)	50,299.99	58,353.08	63,721.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	29,090.13	29,090.13	29,090.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.73	2.01	2.19
LTM Dividend per Share	1.22	1.22	1.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.73	2.01	2.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.95	3.23	3.41
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	3.74%	4.74%	5.74%
Fair Value	$117.52	$210.57	$595.25
Upside / Downside	990.20%	1,853.30%	5,421.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	107,374.50	112,461.87	117,790.29	123,371.17	129,216.46	135,338.71	139,398.87
Payout Ratio	33.15%	44.52%	55.89%	67.26%	78.63%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	35,599.61	50,072.18	65,836.26	82,981.73	101,604.10	121,804.84	128,943.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	3.74%	4.74%	5.74%
Year 1 PV (M)	46,635.34	47,084.89	47,534.44
Year 2 PV (M)	57,108.72	58,215.05	59,331.99
Year 3 PV (M)	67,040.68	68,998.18	70,993.42
Year 4 PV (M)	76,451.47	79,442.24	82,519.91
Year 5 PV (M)	85,360.67	89,555.00	93,912.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,701,880.54	2,834,641.74	2,972,571.14
Equity Value (M)	3,034,477.44	3,177,937.11	3,326,863.52
Shares Outstanding (M)	29,090.13	29,090.13	29,090.13
Fair Value	$104.31	$109.24	$114.36
Upside / Downside	867.65%	913.40%	960.89%

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CITIC Limited (0267.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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