Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Hyundai Elevator Co., Ltd (017800.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$530,850.56 - $1,299,733.70$1,218,040.82
Multi-Stage$195,509.56 - $213,635.10$204,407.21
Blended Fair Value$711,224.01
Current Price$86,000.00
Upside727.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS51.94%0.00%5,562.75628.87912.80909.35685.41686.99350.15348.620.002.26
YoY Growth--784.56%-31.11%0.38%32.67%-0.23%96.20%0.44%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.28%1.52%2.88%2.38%1.50%1.80%0.58%0.66%0.00%0.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)235,963.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)201,756.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)34,207.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47,192.6729,495.4217,697.25
Cash Retained (M)34,207.1834,207.1834,207.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-47,192.67-29,495.42-17,697.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)-12,985.494,711.7616,509.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.1136.1136.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share-359.66130.50457.27
LTM Dividend per Share5,588.005,588.005,588.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-359.66130.50457.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend5,228.345,718.506,045.27
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$530,850.56$1,218,040.82$1,299,733.70
Upside / Downside517.27%1,316.33%1,411.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)235,963.34251,300.96267,635.52285,031.83303,558.90323,290.23332,988.94
Payout Ratio85.50%86.40%87.30%88.20%89.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)201,756.16217,130.42233,650.92251,401.70270,472.91290,961.21308,014.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)201,889.92203,803.57205,717.22
Year 2 PV (M)202,001.88205,849.44209,733.31
Year 3 PV (M)202,092.45207,893.79213,805.12
Year 4 PV (M)202,162.03209,936.61217,933.31
Year 5 PV (M)202,211.04211,977.91222,118.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,048,564.166,340,712.076,644,041.17
Equity Value (M)7,058,921.487,380,173.407,713,348.70
Shares Outstanding (M)36.1136.1136.11
Fair Value$195,509.56$204,407.21$213,635.10
Upside / Downside127.34%137.68%148.41%

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