Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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INVENI Co., Ltd. (015360.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$201,546.41 - $325,789.31$257,456.75
Multi-Stage$420,889.32 - $463,627.98$441,839.41
Blended Fair Value$349,648.08
Current Price$61,000.00
Upside473.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.78%11.69%4,657.7311,271.352,218.941,972.391,725.841,479.291,751.362,965.091,467.401,476.45
YoY Growth---58.68%407.96%12.50%14.29%16.67%-15.53%-40.93%102.06%-0.61%-4.28%
Dividend Yield--10.14%29.28%6.98%5.45%5.12%5.05%4.27%6.99%3.96%3.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)81,528.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,843.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)68,685.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16,305.6010,191.006,114.60
Cash Retained (M)68,685.0268,685.0268,685.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-16,305.60-10,191.00-6,114.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)52,379.4158,494.0162,570.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.334.334.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share12,109.4513,523.0614,465.48
LTM Dividend per Share2,969.142,969.142,969.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share12,109.4513,523.0614,465.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend15,078.5816,492.2017,434.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-1.08%-0.08%0.92%
Fair Value$201,546.41$257,456.75$325,789.31
Upside / Downside230.40%322.06%434.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)81,528.0281,466.1581,404.3481,342.5781,280.8581,219.1883,655.75
Payout Ratio15.75%30.60%45.45%60.30%75.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,843.0024,930.5136,999.6749,050.5061,083.0373,097.2677,381.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-1.08%-0.08%0.92%
Year 1 PV (M)23,212.7923,447.4423,682.10
Year 2 PV (M)32,076.7432,728.5333,386.87
Year 3 PV (M)39,594.2440,807.1642,044.61
Year 4 PV (M)45,909.7847,794.4849,736.62
Year 5 PV (M)51,154.2753,792.6156,538.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,628,608.951,712,606.151,800,033.94
Equity Value (M)1,820,556.761,911,176.372,005,422.83
Shares Outstanding (M)4.334.334.33
Fair Value$420,889.32$441,839.41$463,627.98
Upside / Downside589.98%624.33%660.05%

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