DDM Analysis: 0086.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.79 - $7.27	$5.96
Multi-Stage	$11.36 - $12.48	$11.91
Blended Fair Value	$8.93
Current Price	$3.40
Upside	162.71%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.39%	0.06%	0.26	0.26	0.30	0.26	0.26	0.27	0.29	0.29	0.29	0.30
YoY Growth	-	-	-0.10%	-13.59%	14.91%	-0.54%	-0.61%	-6.96%	-1.29%	-1.41%	-1.37%	14.91%
Dividend Yield	-	-	9.58%	10.39%	10.30%	6.32%	8.08%	7.16%	7.72%	5.72%	6.12%	5.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,080.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,018.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)	62.10

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	216.16	135.10	81.06
Cash Retained (M)	62.10	62.10	62.10
(-) Cash Required (M)	-216.16	-135.10	-81.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-154.06	-73.00	-18.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,960.10	1,960.10	1,960.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.52	0.52	0.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.44	0.48	0.51
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	-2.39%	-1.39%	-0.39%
Fair Value	$4.79	$5.96	$7.27
Upside / Downside	40.89%	75.17%	113.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,080.80	1,065.77	1,050.95	1,036.33	1,021.92	1,007.71	1,037.94
Payout Ratio	94.25%	93.40%	92.55%	91.70%	90.85%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,018.70	995.46	972.68	950.33	928.42	906.93	960.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	-2.39%	-1.39%	-0.39%
Year 1 PV (M)	924.38	933.85	943.32
Year 2 PV (M)	838.73	856.00	873.45
Year 3 PV (M)	760.95	784.57	808.69
Year 4 PV (M)	690.32	719.04	748.66
Year 5 PV (M)	626.19	658.93	693.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)	18,426.00	19,389.41	20,392.70
Equity Value (M)	22,266.57	23,341.81	24,459.84
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,960.10	1,960.10	1,960.10
Fair Value	$11.36	$11.91	$12.48
Upside / Downside	234.11%	250.25%	267.03%

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Sun Hung Kai & Co. Limited (0086.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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