DDM Analysis: 0071.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$19.04 - $28.24	$23.43
Multi-Stage	$47.74 - $52.62	$50.13
Blended Fair Value	$36.78
Current Price	$9.52
Upside	286.34%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-2.77%	3.73%	0.53	0.52	0.47	0.48	0.56	0.61	0.60	0.51	0.45	0.43
YoY Growth	-	-	1.92%	10.64%	-2.08%	-14.29%	-8.20%	1.67%	17.62%	13.03%	3.89%	18.18%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.82%	4.91%	3.86%	3.75%	4.31%	3.89%	3.94%	3.27%	2.78%	3.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,665.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	725.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)	940.17

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	333.14	208.21	124.93
Cash Retained (M)	940.17	940.17	940.17
(-) Cash Required (M)	-333.14	-208.21	-124.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)	607.04	731.96	815.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	690.96	690.96	690.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.88	1.06	1.18
LTM Dividend per Share	1.05	1.05	1.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.88	1.06	1.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.93	2.11	2.23
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	-3.36%	-2.36%	-1.36%
Fair Value	$19.04	$23.43	$28.24
Upside / Downside	99.97%	146.13%	196.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,665.68	1,626.29	1,587.84	1,550.29	1,513.63	1,477.84	1,522.17
Payout Ratio	43.56%	52.85%	62.13%	71.42%	80.71%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	725.51	859.41	986.58	1,107.26	1,221.67	1,330.06	1,408.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	-3.36%	-2.36%	-1.36%
Year 1 PV (M)	799.26	807.53	815.80
Year 2 PV (M)	853.31	871.06	888.99
Year 3 PV (M)	890.65	918.59	947.10
Year 4 PV (M)	913.90	952.32	991.94
Year 5 PV (M)	925.34	974.22	1,025.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)	28,602.32	30,113.18	31,687.22
Equity Value (M)	32,984.78	34,636.89	36,356.19
Shares Outstanding (M)	690.96	690.96	690.96
Fair Value	$47.74	$50.13	$52.62
Upside / Downside	401.45%	426.56%	452.70%

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0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
601966.SS	Shandong Linglong Tyre Co.,Ltd.	2.41%	$0.35	42.43%
7951.T	Yamaha Corporation	2.41%	$26.35	66.95%
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Miramar Hotel and Investment Company, Limited (0071.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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