DDM Analysis: 0066.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$82.85 - $182.68	$119.25
Multi-Stage	$115.87 - $126.98	$121.32
Blended Fair Value	$120.29
Current Price	$28.20
Upside	326.55%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	3.63%	4.86%	1.28	1.22	1.38	1.15	1.09	1.07	0.21	2.47	2.98	0.92
YoY Growth	-	-	4.62%	-11.29%	19.50%	5.24%	2.39%	419.05%	-91.66%	-17.02%	221.99%	16.26%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.72%	4.09%	3.33%	2.75%	2.53%	2.32%	0.50%	5.39%	7.90%	2.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	27,111.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	21,082.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6,029.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	5,422.20	3,388.88	2,033.33
Cash Retained (M)	6,029.00	6,029.00	6,029.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-5,422.20	-3,388.88	-2,033.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)	606.80	2,640.13	3,995.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6,218.00	6,218.00	6,218.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.42	0.64
LTM Dividend per Share	3.39	3.39	3.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.10	0.42	0.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend	3.49	3.82	4.03
WACC / Discount Rate	6.40%	6.40%	6.40%
Growth Rate	2.10%	3.10%	4.10%
Fair Value	$82.85	$119.25	$182.68
Upside / Downside	193.81%	322.89%	547.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	27,111.00	27,951.27	28,817.58	29,710.73	30,631.58	31,580.96	32,528.39
Payout Ratio	77.76%	80.21%	82.66%	85.10%	87.55%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	21,082.00	22,419.55	23,819.77	25,285.24	26,818.67	28,422.86	30,088.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.40%	6.40%	6.40%
Growth Rate	2.10%	3.10%	4.10%
Year 1 PV (M)	20,867.10	21,071.48	21,275.86
Year 2 PV (M)	20,635.16	21,041.36	21,451.52
Year 3 PV (M)	20,387.91	20,992.85	21,609.65
Year 4 PV (M)	20,126.95	20,927.14	21,750.95
Year 5 PV (M)	19,853.81	20,845.32	21,876.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)	618,596.81	649,489.93	681,605.17
Equity Value (M)	720,467.74	754,368.09	789,569.20
Shares Outstanding (M)	6,218.00	6,218.00	6,218.00
Fair Value	$115.87	$121.32	$126.98
Upside / Downside	310.88%	330.21%	350.29%

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601236.SS	Hongta Securities Co., Ltd.	2.42%	$0.20	95.69%
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0U96.L	Everest Re Group, Ltd.	2.41%	$8.07	61.23%
3591.T	Wacoal Holdings Corp.	2.41%	$106.27	49.77%
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MTR Corporation Limited (0066.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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