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Definitive Analysis

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DB Insurance Co., Ltd. (005830.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,494,941.55 - $5,272,633.59$4,941,229.85
Multi-Stage$670,226.68 - $733,555.92$701,310.08
Blended Fair Value$2,821,269.96
Current Price$138,500.00
Upside1,937.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.45%16.82%5,319.834,631.373,604.162,231.241,697.162,098.442,438.361,811.451,702.531,597.30
YoY Growth--14.87%28.50%61.53%31.47%-19.12%-13.94%34.61%6.40%6.59%42.14%
Dividend Yield--6.00%4.97%4.81%3.19%3.59%6.04%3.51%2.79%2.66%2.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,594,728.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)409,176.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,185,552.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)318,945.62199,341.01119,604.61
Cash Retained (M)1,185,552.081,185,552.081,185,552.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-318,945.62-199,341.01-119,604.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)866,606.46986,211.071,065,947.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)60.1560.1560.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share14,407.3016,395.7317,721.34
LTM Dividend per Share6,802.546,802.546,802.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share14,407.3016,395.7317,721.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend21,209.8423,198.2624,523.88
WACC / Discount Rate7.00%7.00%7.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,494,941.55$4,941,229.85$5,272,633.59
Upside / Downside979.38%3,467.67%3,706.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,594,728.081,698,385.401,808,780.461,926,351.192,051,564.012,184,915.672,250,463.14
Payout Ratio25.66%38.53%51.39%64.26%77.13%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)409,176.00654,327.32929,619.551,237,935.241,582,404.321,966,424.112,081,678.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.00%7.00%7.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)605,796.97611,539.12617,281.27
Year 2 PV (M)796,836.69812,014.19827,334.88
Year 3 PV (M)982,412.851,010,614.391,039,350.55
Year 4 PV (M)1,162,640.931,207,352.821,253,342.09
Year 5 PV (M)1,337,634.231,402,242.461,469,323.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)35,429,147.9837,140,389.0838,917,123.40
Equity Value (M)40,314,469.6542,184,152.0644,123,755.59
Shares Outstanding (M)60.1560.1560.15
Fair Value$670,226.68$701,310.08$733,555.92
Upside / Downside383.92%406.36%429.64%

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