DDM Analysis: 003006.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$15.96 - $42.42	$24.42
Multi-Stage	$11.63 - $12.67	$12.14
Blended Fair Value	$18.28
Current Price	$26.39
Upside	-30.74%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	39.74%	8.96%	0.55	0.30	0.30	0.30	0.00	0.10	0.16	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	83.41%	-0.37%	0.60%	0.00%	-100.00%	-36.11%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.21%	1.79%	1.65%	2.25%	0.00%	1.08%	1.68%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	293.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	236.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)	57.44

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	58.74	36.71	22.03
Cash Retained (M)	57.44	57.44	57.44
(-) Cash Required (M)	-58.74	-36.71	-22.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-1.30	20.73	35.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	432.43	432.43	432.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.05	0.08
LTM Dividend per Share	0.55	0.55	0.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.05	0.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.54	0.59	0.63
WACC / Discount Rate	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$15.96	$24.42	$42.42
Upside / Downside	-39.53%	-7.48%	60.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	293.72	312.81	333.14	354.79	377.85	402.42	414.49
Payout Ratio	80.44%	82.35%	84.27%	86.18%	88.09%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	236.28	257.61	280.72	305.75	332.85	362.17	383.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.09%	9.09%	9.09%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	233.92	236.14	238.36
Year 2 PV (M)	231.47	235.88	240.33
Year 3 PV (M)	228.93	235.50	242.19
Year 4 PV (M)	226.30	235.00	243.95
Year 5 PV (M)	223.59	234.39	245.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,885.18	4,072.84	4,267.68
Equity Value (M)	5,029.39	5,249.75	5,478.12
Shares Outstanding (M)	432.43	432.43	432.43
Fair Value	$11.63	$12.14	$12.67
Upside / Downside	-55.93%	-54.00%	-52.00%

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Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co., Ltd. (003006.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener