DDM Analysis: 002852.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$25.15 - $108.87	$43.66
Multi-Stage	$15.66 - $17.12	$16.38
Blended Fair Value	$30.02
Current Price	$11.16
Upside	168.97%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-1.87%	25.77%	0.31	0.47	0.14	0.16	0.10	0.34	0.12	0.13	0.11	0.08
YoY Growth	-	-	-35.25%	230.21%	-11.59%	65.33%	-70.88%	179.03%	-3.60%	18.77%	36.50%	149.54%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.50%	5.40%	1.18%	1.29%	0.75%	2.27%	0.73%	0.69%	0.26%	0.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	281.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	104.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)	176.62

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	56.27	35.17	21.10
Cash Retained (M)	176.62	176.62	176.62
(-) Cash Required (M)	-56.27	-35.17	-21.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)	120.35	141.45	155.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	343.60	343.60	343.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.35	0.41	0.45
LTM Dividend per Share	0.30	0.30	0.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.35	0.41	0.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.66	0.72	0.76
WACC / Discount Rate	8.25%	8.25%	8.25%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$25.15	$43.66	$108.87
Upside / Downside	125.36%	291.18%	875.57%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	281.35	299.64	319.11	339.86	361.95	385.47	397.04
Payout Ratio	37.22%	47.78%	58.33%	68.89%	79.44%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	104.73	143.17	186.15	234.13	287.55	346.93	367.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.25%	8.25%	8.25%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	131.02	132.26	133.50
Year 2 PV (M)	155.90	158.87	161.86
Year 3 PV (M)	179.43	184.58	189.83
Year 4 PV (M)	201.67	209.43	217.40
Year 5 PV (M)	222.67	233.42	244.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,491.68	4,708.63	4,933.88
Equity Value (M)	5,382.36	5,627.18	5,881.07
Shares Outstanding (M)	343.60	343.60	343.60
Fair Value	$15.66	$16.38	$17.12
Upside / Downside	40.36%	46.75%	53.37%

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Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co.,Ltd. (002852.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener