DDM Analysis: 002833.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$157.11 - $185.11	$173.47
Multi-Stage	$111.92 - $122.77	$117.24
Blended Fair Value	$145.36
Current Price	$16.67
Upside	771.98%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	55.74%	31.66%	0.91	1.00	0.38	0.41	0.20	0.10	0.17	0.05	0.20	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	-9.53%	164.83%	-7.50%	106.43%	100.24%	-41.77%	243.83%	-74.90%	457.63%	-39.03%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.86%	4.99%	2.16%	2.54%	0.67%	0.84%	1.09%	0.29%	1.11%	0.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	401.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	299.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)	102.30

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	80.27	50.17	30.10
Cash Retained (M)	102.30	102.30	102.30
(-) Cash Required (M)	-80.27	-50.17	-30.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)	22.03	52.13	72.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	431.19	431.19	431.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.12	0.17
LTM Dividend per Share	0.69	0.69	0.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.12	0.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.74	0.81	0.86
WACC / Discount Rate	1.51%	1.51%	1.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$157.11	$173.47	$185.11
Upside / Downside	842.50%	940.63%	1,010.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	401.34	427.43	455.21	484.80	516.31	549.87	566.37
Payout Ratio	74.51%	77.61%	80.71%	83.80%	86.90%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	299.04	331.72	367.38	406.28	448.69	494.88	523.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	1.51%	1.51%	1.51%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	323.71	326.78	329.85
Year 2 PV (M)	349.85	356.52	363.24
Year 3 PV (M)	377.55	388.39	399.43
Year 4 PV (M)	406.89	422.54	438.63
Year 5 PV (M)	437.95	459.10	481.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)	46,361.38	48,600.65	50,925.62
Equity Value (M)	48,257.33	50,553.97	52,937.84
Shares Outstanding (M)	431.19	431.19	431.19
Fair Value	$111.92	$117.24	$122.77
Upside / Downside	571.37%	603.32%	636.48%

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Financial Statements

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Guangzhou KDT Machinery Co.,Ltd. (002833.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener