DDM Analysis: 002749.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$80.48 - $162.00	$151.82
Multi-Stage	$25.57 - $27.95	$26.74
Blended Fair Value	$89.28
Current Price	$14.99
Upside	495.59%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	49.59%	22.41%	0.82	0.20	0.21	0.21	0.20	0.11	0.33	0.49	0.16	0.13
YoY Growth	-	-	317.30%	-7.77%	0.75%	4.03%	85.67%	-66.37%	-33.33%	200.00%	25.00%	20.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	5.40%	1.30%	2.38%	2.29%	1.83%	1.12%	2.64%	4.07%	0.99%	0.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	375.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	282.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)	92.46

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	75.06	46.91	28.15
Cash Retained (M)	92.46	92.46	92.46
(-) Cash Required (M)	-75.06	-46.91	-28.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)	17.40	45.55	64.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	460.70	460.70	460.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.10	0.14
LTM Dividend per Share	0.61	0.61	0.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.10	0.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.65	0.71	0.75
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$80.48	$151.82	$162.00
Upside / Downside	436.89%	912.81%	980.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	375.29	399.68	425.66	453.33	482.80	514.18	529.60
Payout Ratio	75.36%	78.29%	81.22%	84.14%	87.07%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	282.83	312.91	345.71	381.45	420.38	462.76	489.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	291.45	294.22	296.98
Year 2 PV (M)	299.92	305.64	311.40
Year 3 PV (M)	308.24	317.09	326.10
Year 4 PV (M)	316.40	328.57	341.08
Year 5 PV (M)	324.41	340.08	356.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)	10,238.40	10,732.92	11,246.36
Equity Value (M)	11,778.82	12,318.50	12,878.28
Shares Outstanding (M)	460.70	460.70	460.70
Fair Value	$25.57	$26.74	$27.95
Upside / Downside	70.56%	78.37%	86.48%

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Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sichuan Guoguang Agrochemical Co., Ltd. (002749.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener