Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Limin Group Co., Ltd. (002734.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural InputsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43.33 - $192.97$101.58
Multi-Stage$22.51 - $24.61$23.54
Blended Fair Value$62.56
Current Price$17.86
Upside250.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.31%26.74%0.370.320.380.330.320.330.230.170.120.07
YoY Growth--16.34%-17.42%16.42%2.61%-2.33%41.49%34.37%40.46%77.23%101.56%
Dividend Yield--3.49%4.61%3.85%2.99%2.41%2.60%1.98%1.47%0.87%0.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)420.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)175.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)244.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)84.0252.5231.51
Cash Retained (M)244.36244.36244.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-84.02-52.52-31.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)160.34191.85212.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)432.99432.99432.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.370.440.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.370.440.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.780.850.90
WACC / Discount Rate7.39%7.39%7.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$43.33$101.58$192.97
Upside / Downside142.59%468.73%980.45%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)420.12447.43476.52507.49540.48575.61592.88
Payout Ratio41.84%51.47%61.10%70.73%80.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)175.76230.29291.16358.97434.36518.05548.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.39%7.39%7.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)212.42214.44216.45
Year 2 PV (M)247.74252.46257.23
Year 3 PV (M)281.75289.84298.08
Year 4 PV (M)314.49326.58339.02
Year 5 PV (M)345.99362.70380.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,342.868,745.839,164.21
Equity Value (M)9,745.2610,191.8510,655.05
Shares Outstanding (M)432.99432.99432.99
Fair Value$22.51$23.54$24.61
Upside / Downside26.02%31.79%37.78%

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