DDM Analysis: 002597.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$21.16 - $53.11	$31.80
Multi-Stage	$26.95 - $29.52	$28.21
Blended Fair Value	$30.01
Current Price	$20.84
Upside	43.98%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-6.66%	4.58%	0.27	0.90	0.73	0.51	0.56	0.38	0.63	0.48	0.23	0.21
YoY Growth	-	-	-70.08%	22.10%	44.03%	-8.90%	47.75%	-40.30%	33.46%	104.54%	8.58%	24.91%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.06%	4.67%	2.44%	1.29%	1.42%	1.87%	3.43%	1.92%	1.17%	1.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	538.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	476.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)	61.62

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	107.72	67.32	40.39
Cash Retained (M)	61.62	61.62	61.62
(-) Cash Required (M)	-107.72	-67.32	-40.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-46.10	-5.70	21.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	554.01	554.01	554.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.08	-0.01	0.04
LTM Dividend per Share	0.86	0.86	0.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.08	-0.01	0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.78	0.85	0.90
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	2.58%	3.58%	4.58%
Fair Value	$21.16	$31.80	$53.11
Upside / Downside	1.52%	52.59%	154.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	538.58	557.88	577.88	598.59	620.04	642.26	661.53
Payout Ratio	88.56%	88.85%	89.14%	89.42%	89.71%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	476.96	495.66	515.09	535.28	556.25	578.04	611.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.35%	6.35%	6.35%
Growth Rate	2.58%	3.58%	4.58%
Year 1 PV (M)	461.55	466.05	470.55
Year 2 PV (M)	446.63	455.38	464.21
Year 3 PV (M)	432.18	444.95	457.96
Year 4 PV (M)	418.20	434.75	451.78
Year 5 PV (M)	404.67	424.79	445.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	12,769.51	13,404.16	14,063.79
Equity Value (M)	14,932.75	15,630.07	16,353.98
Shares Outstanding (M)	554.01	554.01	554.01
Fair Value	$26.95	$28.21	$29.52
Upside / Downside	29.34%	35.38%	41.65%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Anhui Jinhe Industrial Co.,Ltd. (002597.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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