DDM Analysis: 002081.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.03 - $1.46	$1.24
Multi-Stage	$9.23 - $10.30	$9.76
Blended Fair Value	$5.50
Current Price	$3.50
Upside	57.13%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-12.34%	1.92%	0.13	0.13	0.04	0.25	0.26	0.25	0.19	0.18	0.18	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	-2.05%	233.96%	-84.08%	-1.94%	1.34%	30.56%	5.65%	4.40%	135.64%	-31.15%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.97%	3.92%	0.77%	4.62%	2.73%	3.10%	1.57%	1.42%	1.59%	0.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	457.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	320.29
(=) Cash Retained (M)	137.08

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	91.47	57.17	34.30
Cash Retained (M)	137.08	137.08	137.08
(-) Cash Required (M)	-91.47	-57.17	-34.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)	45.60	79.91	102.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,655.92	2,655.92	2,655.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.03	0.04
LTM Dividend per Share	0.12	0.12	0.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.02	0.03	0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.14	0.15	0.16
WACC / Discount Rate	-0.07%	-0.07%	-0.07%
Growth Rate	-11.88%	-10.88%	-9.88%
Fair Value	$1.03	$1.24	$1.46
Upside / Downside	-70.63%	-64.51%	-58.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	457.37	407.61	363.26	323.74	288.51	257.12	264.84
Payout Ratio	70.03%	74.02%	78.02%	82.01%	86.01%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	320.29	301.73	283.41	265.50	248.14	231.41	244.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-0.07%	-0.07%	-0.07%
Growth Rate	-11.88%	-10.88%	-9.88%
Year 1 PV (M)	298.54	301.93	305.32
Year 2 PV (M)	277.46	283.79	290.20
Year 3 PV (M)	257.19	266.05	275.10
Year 4 PV (M)	237.84	248.82	260.18
Year 5 PV (M)	219.46	232.20	245.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)	23,232.76	24,581.26	25,991.67
Equity Value (M)	24,523.25	25,914.06	27,368.00
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,655.92	2,655.92	2,655.92
Fair Value	$9.23	$9.76	$10.30
Upside / Downside	163.81%	178.77%	194.41%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Suzhou Gold Mantis Construction Decoration Co., Ltd. (002081.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener