DDM Analysis: 0016.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$124.04 - $193.59	$156.10
Multi-Stage	$297.59 - $327.55	$312.27
Blended Fair Value	$234.18
Current Price	$90.05
Upside	160.06%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	4.61	4.91	4.91	4.91	4.91	4.66	4.16	3.86	3.42
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	-6.06%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	5.34%	11.92%	7.75%	13.12%	5.05%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	6.83%	4.97%	5.29%	4.24%	4.96%	3.52%	3.52%	3.37%	3.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	37,895.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	21,589.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	16,306.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	7,579.00	4,736.88	2,842.13
Cash Retained (M)	16,306.00	16,306.00	16,306.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-7,579.00	-4,736.88	-2,842.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)	8,727.00	11,569.13	13,463.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,922.78	2,922.78	2,922.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.99	3.96	4.61
LTM Dividend per Share	7.39	7.39	7.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.99	3.96	4.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend	10.37	11.34	11.99
WACC / Discount Rate	6.20%	6.20%	6.20%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$124.04	$156.10	$193.59
Upside / Downside	37.74%	73.34%	114.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	37,895.00	37,516.05	37,140.89	36,769.48	36,401.79	36,037.77	37,118.90
Payout Ratio	56.97%	63.58%	70.18%	76.79%	83.39%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	21,589.00	23,851.38	26,066.35	28,234.63	30,356.95	32,433.99	34,334.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.20%	6.20%	6.20%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	22,233.10	22,459.96	22,686.83
Year 2 PV (M)	22,649.21	23,113.80	23,583.10
Year 3 PV (M)	22,868.70	23,575.93	24,297.60
Year 4 PV (M)	22,919.44	23,869.34	24,848.47
Year 5 PV (M)	22,826.15	24,014.77	25,252.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)	756,287.63	795,669.28	836,674.67
Equity Value (M)	869,784.24	912,703.09	957,343.05
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,922.78	2,922.78	2,922.78
Fair Value	$297.59	$312.27	$327.55
Upside / Downside	230.47%	246.78%	263.74%

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Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited (0016.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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