DDM Analysis: 000828.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$40.26 - $200.39	$84.43
Multi-Stage	$30.93 - $33.89	$32.38
Blended Fair Value	$58.41
Current Price	$11.17
Upside	422.88%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	22.72%	15.36%	0.75	0.25	0.27	0.25	0.35	0.27	0.25	0.30	0.30	0.25
YoY Growth	-	-	200.63%	-7.41%	8.00%	-28.76%	29.98%	8.00%	-16.67%	0.00%	20.00%	38.89%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.48%	2.43%	2.76%	2.29%	3.62%	3.87%	2.54%	2.81%	2.11%	2.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,064.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	535.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)	528.44

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	212.85	133.03	79.82
Cash Retained (M)	528.44	528.44	528.44
(-) Cash Required (M)	-212.85	-133.03	-79.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)	315.59	395.41	448.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,042.43	1,042.43	1,042.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.30	0.38	0.43
LTM Dividend per Share	0.51	0.51	0.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.30	0.38	0.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.82	0.89	0.94
WACC / Discount Rate	6.21%	6.21%	6.21%
Growth Rate	4.10%	5.10%	6.10%
Fair Value	$40.26	$84.43	$200.39
Upside / Downside	260.40%	655.84%	1,694.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,064.24	1,118.53	1,175.58	1,235.54	1,298.56	1,364.80	1,405.74
Payout Ratio	50.35%	58.28%	66.21%	74.14%	82.07%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	535.80	651.84	778.32	916.01	1,065.72	1,228.32	1,300.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.21%	6.21%	6.21%
Growth Rate	4.10%	5.10%	6.10%
Year 1 PV (M)	607.87	613.71	619.55
Year 2 PV (M)	676.87	689.93	703.12
Year 3 PV (M)	742.87	764.49	786.52
Year 4 PV (M)	805.99	837.41	869.74
Year 5 PV (M)	866.30	908.72	952.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)	28,545.47	29,943.12	31,394.98
Equity Value (M)	32,245.37	33,757.38	35,326.69
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,042.43	1,042.43	1,042.43
Fair Value	$30.93	$32.38	$33.89
Upside / Downside	176.93%	189.91%	203.39%

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Dongguan Development (Holdings) Co., Ltd. (000828.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener