DDM Analysis: 000823.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$5.11 - $8.29	$6.54
Multi-Stage	$6.71 - $7.34	$7.02
Blended Fair Value	$6.78
Current Price	$13.88
Upside	-51.17%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.34%	0.67%	0.18	0.19	0.16	0.16	0.13	0.14	0.12	0.14	0.06	0.17
YoY Growth	-	-	-5.27%	19.96%	-2.07%	21.12%	-3.78%	10.79%	-9.69%	111.68%	-61.01%	-0.22%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.68%	2.16%	1.38%	1.44%	1.34%	1.21%	1.16%	1.40%	0.44%	1.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	246.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	134.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)	112.27

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	49.32	30.83	18.50
Cash Retained (M)	112.27	112.27	112.27
(-) Cash Required (M)	-49.32	-30.83	-18.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)	62.95	81.44	93.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	536.96	536.96	536.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.12	0.15	0.17
LTM Dividend per Share	0.25	0.25	0.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.12	0.15	0.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.37	0.40	0.42
WACC / Discount Rate	8.83%	8.83%	8.83%
Growth Rate	1.52%	2.52%	3.52%
Fair Value	$5.11	$6.54	$8.29
Upside / Downside	-63.20%	-52.91%	-40.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	246.61	252.83	259.20	265.74	272.44	279.31	287.69
Payout Ratio	54.48%	61.58%	68.69%	75.79%	82.90%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	134.34	155.69	178.04	201.40	225.84	251.38	266.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.83%	8.83%	8.83%
Growth Rate	1.52%	2.52%	3.52%
Year 1 PV (M)	141.67	143.07	144.46
Year 2 PV (M)	147.41	150.33	153.28
Year 3 PV (M)	151.74	156.27	160.89
Year 4 PV (M)	154.83	161.02	167.40
Year 5 PV (M)	156.82	164.70	172.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,849.93	2,993.09	3,141.94
Equity Value (M)	3,602.41	3,768.48	3,940.85
Shares Outstanding (M)	536.96	536.96	536.96
Fair Value	$6.71	$7.02	$7.34
Upside / Downside	-51.66%	-49.44%	-47.12%

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Financial Statements

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Sector

Guangdong Goworld Co., Ltd. (000823.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener