DDM Analysis: 000755.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$6.23 - $13.88	$9.00
Multi-Stage	$8.64 - $9.46	$9.04
Blended Fair Value	$9.02
Current Price	$4.83
Upside	86.73%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-1.15%	4.17%	0.19	0.24	0.21	0.27	0.32	0.20	0.21	0.27	0.07	0.09
YoY Growth	-	-	-20.58%	14.77%	-23.32%	-15.68%	60.11%	-5.66%	-21.70%	293.72%	-25.95%	-25.94%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.93%	5.19%	3.71%	6.03%	9.95%	5.32%	4.20%	4.21%	1.01%	1.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	474.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	423.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)	51.15

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	94.92	59.32	35.59
Cash Retained (M)	51.15	51.15	51.15
(-) Cash Required (M)	-94.92	-59.32	-35.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-43.77	-8.18	15.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,467.41	1,467.41	1,467.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.03	-0.01	0.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.29	0.29	0.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.03	-0.01	0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.26	0.28	0.30
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	2.17%	3.17%	4.17%
Fair Value	$6.23	$9.00	$13.88
Upside / Downside	28.94%	86.29%	187.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	474.59	489.66	505.21	521.25	537.80	554.87	571.52
Payout Ratio	89.22%	89.38%	89.53%	89.69%	89.84%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	423.45	437.65	452.33	467.50	483.18	499.39	528.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.42%	6.42%	6.42%
Growth Rate	2.17%	3.17%	4.17%
Year 1 PV (M)	407.27	411.25	415.24
Year 2 PV (M)	391.70	399.40	407.18
Year 3 PV (M)	376.73	387.90	399.29
Year 4 PV (M)	362.33	376.72	391.54
Year 5 PV (M)	348.47	365.86	383.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)	10,786.66	11,324.95	11,884.52
Equity Value (M)	12,673.16	13,266.09	13,881.71
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,467.41	1,467.41	1,467.41
Fair Value	$8.64	$9.04	$9.46
Upside / Downside	78.81%	87.17%	95.86%

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Financial Statements

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Shanxi Hi-speed Group Co., Ltd. (000755.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener