DDM Analysis: 000513.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$63.81 - $204.51	$103.04
Multi-Stage	$41.98 - $45.86	$43.88
Blended Fair Value	$73.46
Current Price	$38.45
Upside	91.05%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.07%	21.00%	1.50	1.77	1.36	1.40	1.23	0.97	1.25	0.24	0.26	0.09
YoY Growth	-	-	-15.68%	30.79%	-3.34%	14.30%	26.66%	-22.51%	418.21%	-6.44%	177.09%	-58.14%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.22%	4.81%	3.63%	3.65%	2.94%	2.47%	4.52%	0.56%	1.01%	0.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,142.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	699.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,442.97

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	428.49	267.81	160.68
Cash Retained (M)	1,442.97	1,442.97	1,442.97
(-) Cash Required (M)	-428.49	-267.81	-160.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,014.47	1,175.16	1,282.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	895.98	895.98	895.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.13	1.31	1.43
LTM Dividend per Share	0.78	0.78	0.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.13	1.31	1.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.91	2.09	2.21
WACC / Discount Rate	8.66%	8.66%	8.66%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$63.81	$103.04	$204.51
Upside / Downside	65.96%	167.97%	431.89%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,142.46	2,281.72	2,430.03	2,587.99	2,756.21	2,935.36	3,023.42
Payout Ratio	32.65%	44.12%	55.59%	67.06%	78.53%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	699.50	1,006.68	1,350.84	1,735.49	2,164.44	2,641.82	2,796.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.66%	8.66%	8.66%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	917.73	926.43	935.13
Year 2 PV (M)	1,122.66	1,144.05	1,165.63
Year 3 PV (M)	1,314.89	1,352.64	1,391.10
Year 4 PV (M)	1,494.98	1,552.48	1,611.61
Year 5 PV (M)	1,663.48	1,743.82	1,827.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)	31,098.06	32,600.11	34,159.64
Equity Value (M)	37,611.81	39,319.52	41,090.36
Shares Outstanding (M)	895.98	895.98	895.98
Fair Value	$41.98	$43.88	$45.86
Upside / Downside	9.18%	14.13%	19.27%

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Livzon Pharmaceutical Group Inc. (000513.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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