Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Tecnoglass Inc. (TGLS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$84.95 - $210.25$127.09
Multi-Stage$58.67 - $64.12$61.35
Blended Fair Value$94.22
Current Price$66.91
Upside40.81%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS30.45%0.00%0.420.350.270.110.080.110.060.050.060.00
YoY Growth--20.19%27.65%145.45%37.94%-27.28%92.59%9.83%-17.74%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.59%0.68%0.65%0.44%0.67%2.88%0.80%0.56%0.59%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)180.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)26.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)154.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36.1022.5613.54
Cash Retained (M)154.17154.17154.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-36.10-22.56-13.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)118.07131.61140.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)46.9846.9846.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.512.802.99
LTM Dividend per Share0.560.560.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.512.802.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.073.363.55
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$84.95$127.09$210.25
Upside / Downside26.96%89.94%214.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)180.48192.21204.70218.01232.18247.27254.69
Payout Ratio14.58%29.66%44.75%59.83%74.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)26.3157.0191.60130.44173.94222.54235.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.32%9.32%9.32%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)51.6752.1652.64
Year 2 PV (M)75.2276.6578.10
Year 3 PV (M)97.0699.85102.69
Year 4 PV (M)117.29121.80126.44
Year 5 PV (M)135.98142.55149.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,278.892,388.972,503.25
Equity Value (M)2,756.112,881.973,012.49
Shares Outstanding (M)46.9846.9846.98
Fair Value$58.67$61.35$64.12
Upside / Downside-12.32%-8.32%-4.16%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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