Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. (SFBS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$112.07 - $305.65$172.82
Multi-Stage$76.43 - $83.50$79.90
Blended Fair Value$126.36
Current Price$80.53
Upside56.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.15%33.61%1.200.840.690.600.520.440.370.180.140.11
YoY Growth--43.10%21.99%15.22%15.20%17.37%19.11%101.14%27.77%33.57%63.01%
Dividend Yield--1.45%1.28%1.26%0.62%0.84%1.50%1.07%0.45%0.40%0.49%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)255.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)71.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)184.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51.0831.9219.15
Cash Retained (M)184.13184.13184.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-51.08-31.92-19.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)133.05152.20164.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)54.6254.6254.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.442.793.02
LTM Dividend per Share1.301.301.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.442.793.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.744.094.33
WACC / Discount Rate9.02%9.02%9.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$112.07$172.82$305.65
Upside / Downside39.17%114.61%279.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)255.39271.99289.67308.50328.55349.91360.41
Payout Ratio27.90%40.32%52.74%65.16%77.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)71.27109.68152.78201.02254.89314.92333.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.02%9.02%9.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)99.66100.60101.55
Year 2 PV (M)126.14128.54130.97
Year 3 PV (M)150.81155.14159.55
Year 4 PV (M)173.75180.43187.31
Year 5 PV (M)195.06204.48214.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,429.373,595.013,766.99
Equity Value (M)4,174.784,364.204,560.61
Shares Outstanding (M)54.6254.6254.62
Fair Value$76.43$79.90$83.50
Upside / Downside-5.09%-0.78%3.68%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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