Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SpareBank 1 SMN (MING.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,728.60 - $6,250.11$5,479.60
Multi-Stage$796.77 - $871.45$833.43
Blended Fair Value$3,156.51
Current Price$193.94
Upside1,527.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS21.22%22.52%12.005.836.733.954.494.583.962.702.022.02
YoY Growth--105.95%-13.40%70.47%-12.06%-2.12%15.76%46.41%33.56%0.00%28.63%
Dividend Yield--6.56%4.22%5.44%2.79%4.18%6.78%4.47%3.37%3.04%3.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,532.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,915.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,617.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)906.40566.50339.90
Cash Retained (M)2,617.002,617.002,617.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-906.40-566.50-339.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,710.602,050.502,277.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)144.21144.21144.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share11.8614.2215.79
LTM Dividend per Share13.2813.2813.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share11.8614.2215.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend25.1427.5029.07
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,728.60$5,479.60$6,250.11
Upside / Downside791.31%2,725.41%3,122.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,532.004,826.585,140.315,474.435,830.276,209.236,395.51
Payout Ratio42.26%51.80%61.35%70.90%80.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,915.002,500.363,153.743,881.484,690.515,588.315,915.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,314.102,336.042,357.97
Year 2 PV (M)2,701.372,752.822,804.76
Year 3 PV (M)3,077.053,165.383,255.39
Year 4 PV (M)3,441.413,573.763,709.89
Year 5 PV (M)3,794.693,977.984,168.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)99,569.76104,379.02109,372.34
Equity Value (M)114,898.39120,185.00125,668.62
Shares Outstanding (M)144.21144.21144.21
Fair Value$796.77$833.43$871.45
Upside / Downside310.83%329.73%349.34%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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