DDM Analysis: ESE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$288.77 - $834.88	$453.06
Multi-Stage	$191.83 - $209.92	$200.71
Blended Fair Value	$326.88
Current Price	$211.11
Upside	54.84%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-0.15%	-0.13%	0.32	0.32	0.32	0.32	0.32	0.32	0.32	0.32	0.32	0.32
YoY Growth	-	-	0.19%	-0.07%	-0.19%	-0.82%	0.16%	0.25%	0.29%	0.25%	0.11%	-1.45%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.15%	0.24%	0.27%	0.36%	0.36%	0.31%	0.35%	0.49%	0.53%	0.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	299.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	8.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)	290.96

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	59.84	37.40	22.44
Cash Retained (M)	290.96	290.96	290.96
(-) Cash Required (M)	-59.84	-37.40	-22.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)	231.12	253.56	268.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	25.88	25.88	25.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share	8.93	9.80	10.38
LTM Dividend per Share	0.32	0.32	0.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share	8.93	9.80	10.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend	9.25	10.12	10.70
WACC / Discount Rate	8.76%	8.76%	8.76%
Growth Rate	5.38%	6.38%	7.38%
Fair Value	$288.77	$453.06	$834.88
Upside / Downside	36.79%	114.61%	295.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	299.22	318.32	338.64	360.26	383.25	407.72	419.95
Payout Ratio	2.76%	20.21%	37.66%	55.10%	72.55%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	8.26	64.33	127.52	198.52	278.06	366.94	388.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.76%	8.76%	8.76%
Growth Rate	5.38%	6.38%	7.38%
Year 1 PV (M)	58.59	59.15	59.70
Year 2 PV (M)	105.79	107.81	109.85
Year 3 PV (M)	150.00	154.31	158.71
Year 4 PV (M)	191.37	198.74	206.32
Year 5 PV (M)	230.02	241.15	252.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,228.45	4,432.91	4,645.21
Equity Value (M)	4,964.23	5,194.07	5,432.48
Shares Outstanding (M)	25.88	25.88	25.88
Fair Value	$191.83	$200.71	$209.92
Upside / Downside	-9.13%	-4.93%	-0.56%

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ESCO Technologies Inc. (ESE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener