Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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Oki Electric Industry Co., Ltd. (6703.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$830.10 - $1,187.56$1,005.31
Multi-Stage$1,728.10 - $1,902.86$1,813.74
Blended Fair Value$1,409.53
Current Price$1,614.00
Upside-12.67%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-9.70%-6.22%29.8219.9029.8319.9049.6849.6629.9949.8449.7849.74
YoY Growth--49.83%-33.28%49.88%-59.94%0.02%65.59%-39.82%0.12%0.07%-12.26%
Dividend Yield--1.85%1.92%3.32%2.69%4.88%4.78%2.21%4.02%3.13%3.66%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,686.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,882.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,804.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,137.201,335.75801.45
Cash Retained (M)6,804.006,804.006,804.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,137.20-1,335.75-801.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,666.805,468.256,002.55
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)86.7286.7286.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share53.8163.0569.22
LTM Dividend per Share44.7644.7644.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share53.8163.0569.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend98.58107.82113.98
WACC / Discount Rate7.67%7.67%7.67%
Growth Rate-3.76%-2.76%-1.76%
Fair Value$830.10$1,005.31$1,187.56
Upside / Downside-48.57%-37.71%-26.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,686.0010,391.4910,105.109,826.619,555.799,292.439,571.20
Payout Ratio36.33%47.06%57.80%68.53%79.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,882.004,890.485,840.426,734.297,574.458,363.198,853.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.67%7.67%7.67%
Growth Rate-3.76%-2.76%-1.76%
Year 1 PV (M)4,495.264,541.964,588.67
Year 2 PV (M)4,934.585,037.665,141.80
Year 3 PV (M)5,230.005,394.725,562.86
Year 4 PV (M)5,407.095,635.345,870.75
Year 5 PV (M)5,487.675,778.746,082.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)124,310.73130,904.44137,775.02
Equity Value (M)149,865.33157,292.87165,021.15
Shares Outstanding (M)86.7286.7286.72
Fair Value$1,728.10$1,813.74$1,902.86
Upside / Downside7.07%12.38%17.90%

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