DDM Analysis: 1109.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1,024.36 - $1,677.74	$1,572.29
Multi-Stage	$271.74 - $297.52	$284.39
Blended Fair Value	$928.34
Current Price	$26.60
Upside	3,390.01%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.03%	17.26%	1.44	1.48	1.46	1.25	1.09	1.08	0.82	0.60	0.50	0.40
YoY Growth	-	-	-2.79%	1.92%	16.55%	14.77%	1.12%	31.66%	36.63%	18.73%	24.73%	37.70%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.39%	5.60%	4.07%	3.81%	3.40%	2.77%	2.72%	2.52%	2.89%	1.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	60,157.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	21,921.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)	38,236.77

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	12,031.57	7,519.73	4,511.84
Cash Retained (M)	38,236.77	38,236.77	38,236.77
(-) Cash Required (M)	-12,031.57	-7,519.73	-4,511.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)	26,205.20	30,717.04	33,724.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	7,130.94	7,130.94	7,130.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.67	4.31	4.73
LTM Dividend per Share	3.07	3.07	3.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.67	4.31	4.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.75	7.38	7.80
WACC / Discount Rate	6.20%	6.20%	6.20%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$1,024.36	$1,572.29	$1,677.74
Upside / Downside	3,750.96%	5,810.87%	6,207.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	60,157.85	64,068.11	68,232.53	72,667.65	77,391.05	82,421.46	84,894.11
Payout Ratio	36.44%	47.15%	57.86%	68.58%	79.29%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	21,921.08	30,209.02	39,481.77	49,832.35	61,361.70	74,179.32	78,527.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.20%	6.20%	6.20%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	28,179.61	28,446.72	28,713.83
Year 2 PV (M)	34,355.28	35,009.65	35,670.20
Year 3 PV (M)	40,448.90	41,610.04	42,793.20
Year 4 PV (M)	46,461.28	48,248.05	50,085.86
Year 5 PV (M)	52,393.21	54,923.83	57,551.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,735,918.33	1,819,763.83	1,906,818.30
Equity Value (M)	1,937,756.62	2,028,002.12	2,121,632.67
Shares Outstanding (M)	7,130.94	7,130.94	7,130.94
Fair Value	$271.74	$284.39	$297.52
Upside / Downside	921.58%	969.15%	1,018.51%

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China Resources Land Limited (1109.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener