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Definitive Analysis

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Shinyoung Securities Co., Ltd. (001720.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,219,196.76 - $3,148,945.38$2,951,022.98
Multi-Stage$449,768.56 - $492,312.55$470,649.70
Blended Fair Value$1,710,836.34
Current Price$121,000.00
Upside1,313.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS9.65%7.21%5,222.134,452.794,135.824,645.302,915.073,293.903,721.593,253.912,962.532,931.51
YoY Growth--17.28%7.66%-10.97%59.35%-11.50%-11.49%14.37%9.84%1.06%12.61%
Dividend Yield--4.32%6.25%7.43%8.42%4.48%7.73%6.20%5.74%5.39%5.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)126,844.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41,845.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)84,999.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)25,368.9015,855.569,513.34
Cash Retained (M)84,999.1184,999.1184,999.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-25,368.90-15,855.56-9,513.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)59,630.2169,143.5575,485.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.018.018.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share7,443.548,631.089,422.77
LTM Dividend per Share5,223.495,223.495,223.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share7,443.548,631.089,422.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend12,667.0313,854.5714,646.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,219,196.76$2,951,022.98$3,148,945.38
Upside / Downside907.60%2,338.86%2,502.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)126,844.51135,089.40143,870.21153,221.78163,181.19173,787.97179,001.61
Payout Ratio32.99%44.39%55.79%67.20%78.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41,845.4059,968.3780,270.53102,958.61128,257.00156,409.17165,576.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)55,729.3256,257.5656,785.80
Year 2 PV (M)69,323.2970,643.7071,976.57
Year 3 PV (M)82,631.7985,003.8687,420.88
Year 4 PV (M)95,659.2799,338.06103,121.94
Year 5 PV (M)108,410.09113,646.34119,082.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,191,342.183,345,485.203,505,527.63
Equity Value (M)3,603,095.943,770,374.713,943,915.83
Shares Outstanding (M)8.018.018.01
Fair Value$449,768.56$470,649.70$492,312.55
Upside / Downside271.71%288.97%306.87%

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