Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Beijing New Building Materials Public Limited Company (000786.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.82 - $60.46$42.52
Multi-Stage$24.22 - $26.38$25.28
Blended Fair Value$33.90
Current Price$23.66
Upside43.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.77%19.60%0.880.660.660.550.080.460.360.180.150.18
YoY Growth--33.87%-0.01%18.89%567.13%-82.05%29.58%97.22%22.90%-17.65%21.49%
Dividend Yield--3.01%2.23%2.44%1.82%0.19%1.95%1.69%0.71%1.18%1.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,088.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,524.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,564.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)617.63386.02231.61
Cash Retained (M)1,564.071,564.071,564.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-617.63-386.02-231.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)946.441,178.051,332.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,689.301,689.301,689.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.560.700.79
LTM Dividend per Share0.900.900.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.560.700.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.461.601.69
WACC / Discount Rate10.51%10.51%10.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$30.82$42.52$60.46
Upside / Downside30.24%79.70%155.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,088.163,288.893,502.673,730.343,972.824,231.054,357.98
Payout Ratio49.35%57.48%65.61%73.74%81.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,524.091,890.532,298.162,750.803,252.573,807.954,031.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.51%10.51%10.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,694.711,710.781,726.84
Year 2 PV (M)1,846.751,881.921,917.43
Year 3 PV (M)1,981.532,038.412,096.37
Year 4 PV (M)2,100.302,181.072,264.15
Year 5 PV (M)2,204.252,310.712,421.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)31,084.3732,585.7534,144.60
Equity Value (M)40,911.9042,708.6544,570.65
Shares Outstanding (M)1,689.301,689.301,689.30
Fair Value$24.22$25.28$26.38
Upside / Downside2.36%6.85%11.51%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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