DDM Analysis: TCF.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$71.31 - $222.28	$208.30
Multi-Stage	$30.72 - $33.56	$32.11
Blended Fair Value	$120.21
Current Price	$6.00
Upside	1,903.49%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	26.19%	12.68%	0.70	0.42	0.35	0.30	0.09	0.22	0.25	0.26	0.25	0.26
YoY Growth	-	-	65.18%	21.57%	17.43%	237.66%	-59.82%	-13.42%	-1.11%	2.81%	-4.34%	22.45%
Dividend Yield	-	-	11.66%	7.79%	6.69%	5.60%	1.48%	4.05%	4.28%	4.40%	4.04%	4.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	5.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	3.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1.22

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1.02	0.64	0.38
Cash Retained (M)	1.22	1.22	1.22
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1.02	-0.64	-0.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)	0.20	0.58	0.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	4.56	4.56	4.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.13	0.18
LTM Dividend per Share	0.85	0.85	0.85
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.13	0.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.89	0.98	1.03
WACC / Discount Rate	6.82%	6.82%	6.82%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$71.31	$208.30	$222.28
Upside / Downside	1,088.52%	3,371.74%	3,604.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	5.10	5.43	5.78	6.16	6.56	6.99	7.20
Payout Ratio	76.18%	78.94%	81.71%	84.47%	87.24%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	3.89	4.29	4.73	5.20	5.72	6.29	6.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.82%	6.82%	6.82%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	3.98	4.01	4.05
Year 2 PV (M)	4.06	4.14	4.22
Year 3 PV (M)	4.15	4.27	4.39
Year 4 PV (M)	4.23	4.40	4.56
Year 5 PV (M)	4.31	4.52	4.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)	119.43	125.20	131.19
Equity Value (M)	140.16	146.54	153.15
Shares Outstanding (M)	4.56	4.56	4.56
Fair Value	$30.72	$32.11	$33.56
Upside / Downside	411.95%	435.23%	459.37%

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600724.SS	Ningbo Fuda Company Limited	2.54%	$0.15	96.79%
7505.T	Fuso Dentsu Co., Ltd.	2.54%	$48.50	22.36%
8850.T	Starts Corporation Inc.	2.54%	$121.52	25.36%
BLAU3.SA	Blau Farmacêutica S.A.	2.54%	$0.35	19.81%
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600963.SS	Yueyang Forest & Paper Co., Ltd.	2.53%	$0.12	48.95%
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CK-R.BK	CH. Karnchang Public Company Limited	2.53%	$0.30	25.56%
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5191.T	Sumitomo Riko Company Limited	2.52%	$66.01	23.54%
600406.SS	NARI Technology Co., Ltd.	2.52%	$0.57	56.63%
600909.SS	Huaan Securities Co., Ltd.	2.52%	$0.17	38.30%
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360 Capital Mortgage REIT (TCF.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener