Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sydbank A/S (SYDB.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,502.61 - $8,776.38$2,781.00
Multi-Stage$913.05 - $996.79$954.16
Blended Fair Value$1,867.58
Current Price$510.50
Upside265.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.57%82.95%32.6718.6513.8311.360.1411.3414.8814.3015.6210.29
YoY Growth--75.18%34.88%21.75%8,242.86%-98.80%-23.79%4.08%-8.47%51.80%13,125.00%
Dividend Yield--7.57%5.18%4.48%4.92%0.08%11.80%10.50%6.42%6.46%5.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,269.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,391.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)878.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)453.80283.63170.18
Cash Retained (M)878.00878.00878.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-453.80-283.63-170.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)424.20594.38707.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.4251.4251.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.2511.5613.77
LTM Dividend per Share27.0527.0527.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.2511.5613.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend35.3038.6140.82
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,502.61$2,781.00$8,776.38
Upside / Downside194.34%444.76%1,619.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,269.002,416.492,573.562,740.842,918.993,108.733,201.99
Payout Ratio61.30%67.04%72.78%78.52%84.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,391.001,620.101,873.102,152.162,459.572,797.852,961.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.98%7.98%7.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,486.301,500.391,514.48
Year 2 PV (M)1,576.491,606.521,636.83
Year 3 PV (M)1,661.761,709.461,758.07
Year 4 PV (M)1,742.281,809.281,878.20
Year 5 PV (M)1,818.231,906.051,997.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)38,660.2940,527.5942,466.37
Equity Value (M)46,945.3449,059.2951,251.16
Shares Outstanding (M)51.4251.4251.42
Fair Value$913.05$954.16$996.79
Upside / Downside78.85%86.91%95.26%

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