DDM Analysis: SGU

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$14.50 - $22.48	$18.20
Multi-Stage	$29.28 - $32.21	$30.72
Blended Fair Value	$24.46
Current Price	$11.83
Upside	106.73%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.73	0.69	0.68	0.68	0.71	0.75	0.75	0.71	0.67
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	5.45%	2.38%	-1.09%	-4.10%	-4.46%	-0.04%	5.27%	5.33%	8.42%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	6.33%	6.01%	5.61%	6.35%	7.58%	7.89%	8.00%	6.60%	6.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	52.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	19.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)	33.32

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	10.56	6.60	3.96
Cash Retained (M)	33.32	33.32	33.32
(-) Cash Required (M)	-10.56	-6.60	-3.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)	22.76	26.72	29.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	34.28	34.28	34.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.66	0.78	0.86
LTM Dividend per Share	0.57	0.57	0.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.66	0.78	0.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.23	1.35	1.42
WACC / Discount Rate	6.87%	6.87%	6.87%
Growth Rate	-1.50%	-0.50%	0.50%
Fair Value	$14.50	$18.20	$22.48
Upside / Downside	22.58%	53.81%	90.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	52.80	52.54	52.27	52.01	51.75	51.50	53.04
Payout Ratio	36.90%	47.52%	58.14%	68.76%	79.38%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	19.48	24.96	30.39	35.76	41.08	46.35	49.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.87%	6.87%	6.87%
Growth Rate	-1.50%	-0.50%	0.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	23.12	23.36	23.59
Year 2 PV (M)	26.08	26.61	27.15
Year 3 PV (M)	28.42	29.30	30.19
Year 4 PV (M)	30.25	31.49	32.78
Year 5 PV (M)	31.61	33.24	34.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)	864.13	908.90	955.50
Equity Value (M)	1,003.61	1,052.90	1,104.15
Shares Outstanding (M)	34.28	34.28	34.28
Fair Value	$29.28	$30.72	$32.21
Upside / Downside	147.49%	159.65%	172.29%

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Star Group, L.P. (SGU)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener