DDM Analysis: PDCO

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$19.37 - $32.95	$25.27
Multi-Stage	$27.58 - $30.19	$28.86
Blended Fair Value	$27.07
Current Price	$30.93
Upside	-12.49%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.23%	1.39%	1.10	1.14	1.13	0.84	1.13	1.12	1.11	1.08	1.02	0.92
YoY Growth	-	-	-2.97%	0.23%	34.49%	-25.15%	0.98%	0.27%	3.43%	5.86%	10.81%	-4.55%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.19%	3.49%	3.65%	2.52%	4.50%	5.69%	4.68%	2.55%	2.06%	1.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	138.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	92.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)	46.30

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	27.76	17.35	10.41
Cash Retained (M)	46.30	46.30	46.30
(-) Cash Required (M)	-27.76	-17.35	-10.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)	18.54	28.95	35.89
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	89.17	89.17	89.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.21	0.32	0.40
LTM Dividend per Share	1.04	1.04	1.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.21	0.32	0.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.25	1.36	1.44
WACC / Discount Rate	7.85%	7.85%	7.85%
Growth Rate	1.34%	2.34%	3.34%
Fair Value	$19.37	$25.27	$32.95
Upside / Downside	-37.38%	-18.30%	6.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	138.78	142.02	145.33	148.73	152.20	155.75	160.43
Payout Ratio	66.64%	71.31%	75.98%	80.66%	85.33%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	92.48	101.27	110.43	119.96	129.87	140.18	148.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.85%	7.85%	7.85%
Growth Rate	1.34%	2.34%	3.34%
Year 1 PV (M)	92.98	93.90	94.82
Year 2 PV (M)	93.09	94.94	96.80
Year 3 PV (M)	92.85	95.62	98.45
Year 4 PV (M)	92.29	95.99	99.80
Year 5 PV (M)	91.47	96.07	100.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)	1,996.45	2,096.92	2,201.40
Equity Value (M)	2,459.13	2,573.44	2,692.12
Shares Outstanding (M)	89.17	89.17	89.17
Fair Value	$27.58	$28.86	$30.19
Upside / Downside	-10.83%	-6.69%	-2.39%

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Patterson Companies, Inc. (PDCO)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener