Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Leidos Holdings, Inc. (LDOS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$461.17 - $2,128.33$1,040.39
Multi-Stage$238.68 - $261.25$249.76
Blended Fair Value$645.08
Current Price$195.58
Upside229.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.99%8.15%1.581.531.521.521.491.511.511.518.650.89
YoY Growth--3.48%1.01%0.00%1.53%-1.01%0.00%0.00%-82.56%870.09%23.16%
Dividend Yield--1.19%1.17%1.65%1.40%1.55%1.71%2.35%2.31%16.91%1.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,405.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)209.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,196.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)281.00175.63105.38
Cash Retained (M)1,196.001,196.001,196.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-281.00-175.63-105.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)915.001,020.381,090.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)131.29131.29131.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.977.778.31
LTM Dividend per Share1.591.591.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.977.778.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.569.369.90
WACC / Discount Rate7.46%7.46%7.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$461.17$1,040.39$2,128.33
Upside / Downside135.80%431.95%988.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,405.001,496.331,593.591,697.171,807.491,924.971,982.72
Payout Ratio14.88%29.90%44.93%59.95%74.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)209.00447.41715.921,017.461,355.161,732.471,834.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.46%7.46%7.46%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)412.44416.35420.26
Year 2 PV (M)608.40619.99631.69
Year 3 PV (M)797.08819.96843.27
Year 4 PV (M)978.681,016.311,055.03
Year 5 PV (M)1,153.391,209.101,266.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,385.3228,708.0430,081.39
Equity Value (M)31,335.3132,789.7634,298.58
Shares Outstanding (M)131.29131.29131.29
Fair Value$238.68$249.76$261.25
Upside / Downside22.04%27.70%33.58%

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