Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

General Commercial & Industrial S.A. (GEBKA.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - DistributionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.92 - $3.74$2.64
Multi-Stage$2.55 - $2.79$2.67
Blended Fair Value$2.66
Current Price$1.64
Upside61.91%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS38.18%14.44%0.080.080.050.030.040.010.010.010.010.02
YoY Growth---0.01%36.86%56.88%-0.13%134.95%49.30%0.76%-0.43%-53.75%10.39%
Dividend Yield--5.48%4.15%4.53%3.02%4.25%1.84%1.58%2.02%2.93%6.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.570.360.22
Cash Retained (M)1.061.061.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.57-0.36-0.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.490.700.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.0624.0624.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate2.10%3.10%4.10%
Fair Value$1.92$2.64$3.74
Upside / Downside17.18%61.23%128.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.872.963.053.143.243.343.44
Payout Ratio62.96%68.37%73.78%79.18%84.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.812.022.252.492.743.013.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate2.10%3.10%4.10%
Year 1 PV (M)1.871.891.91
Year 2 PV (M)1.921.962.00
Year 3 PV (M)1.962.022.08
Year 4 PV (M)2.002.082.16
Year 5 PV (M)2.032.132.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)51.5054.0856.75
Equity Value (M)61.2964.1567.13
Shares Outstanding (M)24.0624.0624.06
Fair Value$2.55$2.67$2.79
Upside / Downside55.32%62.59%70.13%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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