DDM Analysis: FCX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$23.21 - $44.42	$31.73
Multi-Stage	$18.25 - $19.88	$19.05
Blended Fair Value	$25.39
Current Price	$39.22
Upside	-35.27%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	24.34%	-4.03%	0.60	0.60	0.60	0.23	0.05	0.20	0.15	0.00	0.00	0.42
YoY Growth	-	-	0.23%	-0.35%	161.63%	353.42%	-74.91%	33.49%	10,800.00%	-66.67%	-99.01%	-53.64%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.58%	1.26%	1.47%	0.46%	0.15%	2.99%	1.15%	0.01%	0.03%	4.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,066.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	865.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,201.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	413.20	258.25	154.95
Cash Retained (M)	1,201.00	1,201.00	1,201.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-413.20	-258.25	-154.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)	787.80	942.75	1,046.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,444.00	1,444.00	1,444.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.55	0.65	0.72
LTM Dividend per Share	0.60	0.60	0.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.55	0.65	0.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.14	1.25	1.32
WACC / Discount Rate	10.70%	10.70%	10.70%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$23.21	$31.73	$44.42
Upside / Downside	-40.82%	-19.11%	13.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,066.00	2,200.29	2,343.31	2,495.62	2,657.84	2,830.60	2,915.52
Payout Ratio	41.87%	51.49%	61.12%	70.75%	80.37%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	865.00	1,133.03	1,432.25	1,765.59	2,136.20	2,547.54	2,696.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.70%	10.70%	10.70%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,013.88	1,023.49	1,033.10
Year 2 PV (M)	1,146.86	1,168.71	1,190.76
Year 3 PV (M)	1,265.10	1,301.42	1,338.42
Year 4 PV (M)	1,369.70	1,422.37	1,476.55
Year 5 PV (M)	1,461.66	1,532.26	1,605.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)	20,088.71	21,059.00	22,066.43
Equity Value (M)	26,345.92	27,507.26	28,710.83
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,444.00	1,444.00	1,444.00
Fair Value	$18.25	$19.05	$19.88
Upside / Downside	-53.48%	-51.43%	-49.30%

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023160.KQ	Tae Kwang Corporation	2.55%	$535.13	21.10%
3152.TWO	Advanced Ceramic X Corporation	2.55%	$3.66	36.41%
600415.SS	Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co., Ltd.	2.55%	$0.41	53.66%
601808.SS	China Oilfield Services Limited	2.55%	$0.36	43.75%
7606.T	United Arrows Ltd.	2.55%	$62.63	43.42%
CYRE3.SA	Cyrela Brazil Realty S.A. Empreendimentos e Participações	2.55%	$0.61	12.29%
JUNGH.SW	Jungheinrich AG	2.55%	$0.79	22.62%
RENT3.SA	Localiza Rent a Car S.A.	2.55%	$1.11	66.67%
002380.KS	KCC Corporation	2.54%	$10,000.23	6.25%
1527.HK	Zhejiang Tengy Environmental Technology Co., Ltd	2.54%	$0.05	4.95%
5212.KL	Pavilion Real Estate Investment Trust	2.54%	$0.05	39.63%
5489.TWO	DynaColor, Inc.	2.54%	$1.02	50.42%
600273.SS	Zhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd.	2.54%	$0.22	28.18%
600724.SS	Ningbo Fuda Company Limited	2.54%	$0.15	96.79%
7505.T	Fuso Dentsu Co., Ltd.	2.54%	$48.50	22.36%
8850.T	Starts Corporation Inc.	2.54%	$121.52	25.36%
BLAU3.SA	Blau Farmacêutica S.A.	2.54%	$0.35	19.81%
2367.HK	Giant Biogene Holding Co., Ltd.	2.53%	$0.87	22.55%
2701.TW	Wan Hwa Enterprise Company Ltd.	2.53%	$0.28	52.89%
600963.SS	Yueyang Forest & Paper Co., Ltd.	2.53%	$0.12	48.95%
603697.SS	YouYou Foods Co., Ltd.	2.53%	$0.31	63.16%
CK-R.BK	CH. Karnchang Public Company Limited	2.53%	$0.30	25.56%
SCHO.CO	Aktieselskabet Schouw & Co.	2.53%	$16.81	42.51%
003006.SZ	Chongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co., Ltd.	2.52%	$0.55	80.44%
5191.T	Sumitomo Riko Company Limited	2.52%	$66.01	23.54%
600406.SS	NARI Technology Co., Ltd.	2.52%	$0.57	56.63%
600909.SS	Huaan Securities Co., Ltd.	2.52%	$0.17	38.30%
603811.SS	Zhejiang Cheng Yi Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.	2.52%	$0.26	37.15%
BESALCO.SN	Besalco S.A.	2.52%	$30.59	34.76%
000019.SZ	Shenzhen Cereals Holdings Co., Ltd.	2.51%	$0.17	62.11%
094820.KQ	Iljin Power Co., Ltd.	2.51%	$320.01	48.44%
0QVR.L	Scandi Standard AB (publ)	2.51%	$2.49	52.58%
4041.T	Nippon Soda Co., Ltd.	2.51%	$90.77	32.02%
600056.SS	China Meheco Group Co., Ltd.	2.51%	$0.26	71.36%
605169.SS	Xinjiang Hongtong Natural Gas Co., Ltd.	2.51%	$0.33	91.06%
6691.TW	Yankey Engineering Co., Ltd.	2.51%	$13.92	62.80%
7483.T	Doshisha Co.,Ltd.	2.51%	$82.93	37.87%
GPSC-R.BK	Global Power Synergy Public Company Limited	2.51%	$0.90	51.48%
HOVE.CO	Hove A/S	2.51%	$0.14	34.71%
NOLA-B.ST	Nolato AB (publ)	2.51%	$1.50	51.20%
0QNH.L	Huber+Suhner AG	2.50%	$3.61	49.61%
100840.KS	SNT Energy Co., Ltd.	2.50%	$899.87	27.57%
138490.KS	Kolon Plastics, Inc.	2.50%	$200.40	17.45%
2612.T	Kadoya Sesame Mills Incorporated	2.50%	$99.85	34.73%
603112.SS	Shanxi Huaxiang Group Co., Ltd.	2.50%	$0.43	43.19%
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ISCTR.IS	Türkiye Is Bankasi A.S.	2.50%	$0.36	16.38%
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Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

High-Yield Dividend Screener