Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Even Construtora e Incorporadora S.A. (EVEN3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.07 - $8.47$6.57
Multi-Stage$17.88 - $19.72$18.78
Blended Fair Value$12.67
Current Price$7.85
Upside61.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%13.07%0.560.200.000.420.070.000.000.000.090.15
YoY Growth--183.38%0.00%-100.00%487.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-37.71%-10.77%
Dividend Yield--9.32%2.66%0.00%7.97%0.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.68%4.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)178.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)79.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)99.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.7722.3613.42
Cash Retained (M)99.3399.3399.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.77-22.36-13.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)63.5576.9785.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)406.54406.54406.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.190.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.190.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.350.380.41
WACC / Discount Rate4.81%4.81%4.81%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.07$6.57$8.47
Upside / Downside-35.43%-16.36%7.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)178.87177.08175.31173.55171.82170.10175.20
Payout Ratio44.47%53.58%62.68%71.79%80.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)79.5494.87109.89124.59138.99153.09162.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.81%4.81%4.81%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)89.6190.5291.44
Year 2 PV (M)98.03100.04102.07
Year 3 PV (M)104.98108.23111.54
Year 4 PV (M)110.62115.20119.93
Year 5 PV (M)115.08121.07127.31
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,749.167,100.607,466.54
Equity Value (M)7,267.477,635.668,018.82
Shares Outstanding (M)406.54406.54406.54
Fair Value$17.88$18.78$19.72
Upside / Downside127.72%139.26%151.27%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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