Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. (CQP)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas MidstreamSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$166.40 - $954.52$311.81
Multi-Stage$102.68 - $111.97$107.24
Blended Fair Value$209.53
Current Price$53.82
Upside289.31%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.15%36.58%4.626.015.443.002.812.602.300.610.200.20
YoY Growth---23.12%10.32%81.60%6.77%7.86%13.21%278.57%196.97%0.00%0.02%
Dividend Yield--6.99%12.16%11.51%5.32%6.76%9.64%5.47%2.09%0.63%0.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,323.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,045.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)278.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)464.60290.38174.23
Cash Retained (M)278.00278.00278.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-464.60-290.38-174.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)-186.60-12.38103.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)484.00484.00484.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.39-0.030.21
LTM Dividend per Share4.234.234.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.39-0.030.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.844.204.44
WACC / Discount Rate7.93%7.93%7.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$166.40$311.81$954.52
Upside / Downside209.18%479.35%1,673.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,323.002,474.002,634.802,806.072,988.463,182.713,278.19
Payout Ratio88.03%88.43%88.82%89.21%89.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,045.002,187.662,340.222,503.382,677.862,864.443,032.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.93%7.93%7.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,007.812,026.842,045.87
Year 2 PV (M)1,971.262,008.802,046.70
Year 3 PV (M)1,935.331,990.892,047.50
Year 4 PV (M)1,900.021,973.092,048.25
Year 5 PV (M)1,865.321,955.422,048.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)40,017.9641,950.8443,957.70
Equity Value (M)49,697.7051,905.8854,194.99
Shares Outstanding (M)484.00484.00484.00
Fair Value$102.68$107.24$111.97
Upside / Downside90.79%99.26%108.05%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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