Definitive Analysis
Loading...
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Gambling, Resorts & CasinosSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$931.37 - $1,097.32$1,028.35
Multi-Stage$284.29 - $311.82$297.80
Blended Fair Value$663.07
Current Price$97.01
Upside583.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.63%6.76%0.400.370.360.340.320.300.320.290.260.24
YoY Growth--7.75%4.23%4.84%5.98%5.41%-6.33%10.23%12.57%9.65%14.70%
Dividend Yield--0.36%0.30%0.28%0.31%0.28%0.59%0.72%0.72%0.99%0.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)403.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)372.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)80.6450.4030.24
Cash Retained (M)372.50372.50372.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-80.64-50.40-30.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)291.86322.10342.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)73.0873.0873.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.994.414.68
LTM Dividend per Share0.420.420.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.994.414.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.414.835.10
WACC / Discount Rate5.01%5.01%5.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$931.37$1,028.35$1,097.32
Upside / Downside860.08%960.04%1,031.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)403.20429.41457.32487.05518.70552.42568.99
Payout Ratio7.61%24.09%40.57%57.05%73.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.70103.45185.53277.84381.37497.18526.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.01%5.01%5.01%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)97.5998.5299.44
Year 2 PV (M)165.11168.26171.43
Year 3 PV (M)233.27239.97246.79
Year 4 PV (M)302.06313.68325.63
Year 5 PV (M)371.50389.44408.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,604.9020,551.8321,534.99
Equity Value (M)20,774.4421,761.6922,786.36
Shares Outstanding (M)73.0873.0873.08
Fair Value$284.29$297.80$311.82
Upside / Downside193.05%206.98%221.43%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

« Prev Page 61 of 151 Next »
Ticker Company Dividend Yield % Dividend Per Share Payout Ratio %
017810.KSPulmuone Co., Ltd.2.55%$331.6165.57%
023160.KQTae Kwang Corporation2.55%$535.1321.10%
3152.TWOAdvanced Ceramic X Corporation2.55%$3.6636.41%
600415.SSZhejiang China Commodities City Group Co., Ltd.2.55%$0.4153.66%
601808.SSChina Oilfield Services Limited2.55%$0.3643.75%
7606.TUnited Arrows Ltd.2.55%$62.6343.42%
CYRE3.SACyrela Brazil Realty S.A. Empreendimentos e Participações2.55%$0.6112.29%
JUNGH.SWJungheinrich AG2.55%$0.7922.62%
RENT3.SALocaliza Rent a Car S.A.2.55%$1.1166.67%
002380.KSKCC Corporation2.54%$10,000.236.25%
1527.HKZhejiang Tengy Environmental Technology Co., Ltd2.54%$0.054.95%
5212.KLPavilion Real Estate Investment Trust2.54%$0.0539.63%
5489.TWODynaColor, Inc.2.54%$1.0250.42%
600273.SSZhejiang Jiahua Energy Chemical Industry Co.,Ltd.2.54%$0.2228.18%
600724.SSNingbo Fuda Company Limited2.54%$0.1596.79%
7505.TFuso Dentsu Co., Ltd.2.54%$48.5022.36%
8850.TStarts Corporation Inc.2.54%$121.5225.36%
BLAU3.SABlau Farmacêutica S.A.2.54%$0.3519.81%
2367.HKGiant Biogene Holding Co., Ltd.2.53%$0.8722.55%
2701.TWWan Hwa Enterprise Company Ltd.2.53%$0.2852.89%
600963.SSYueyang Forest & Paper Co., Ltd.2.53%$0.1248.95%
603697.SSYouYou Foods Co., Ltd.2.53%$0.3163.16%
CK-R.BKCH. Karnchang Public Company Limited2.53%$0.3025.56%
SCHO.COAktieselskabet Schouw & Co.2.53%$16.8142.51%
003006.SZChongqing Baiya Sanitary Products Co., Ltd.2.52%$0.5580.44%
5191.TSumitomo Riko Company Limited2.52%$66.0123.54%
600406.SSNARI Technology Co., Ltd.2.52%$0.5756.63%
600909.SSHuaan Securities Co., Ltd.2.52%$0.1738.30%
603811.SSZhejiang Cheng Yi Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.2.52%$0.2637.15%
BESALCO.SNBesalco S.A.2.52%$30.5934.76%
000019.SZShenzhen Cereals Holdings Co., Ltd.2.51%$0.1762.11%
094820.KQIljin Power Co., Ltd.2.51%$320.0148.44%
0QVR.LScandi Standard AB (publ)2.51%$2.4952.58%
4041.TNippon Soda Co., Ltd.2.51%$90.7732.02%
600056.SSChina Meheco Group Co., Ltd.2.51%$0.2671.36%
605169.SSXinjiang Hongtong Natural Gas Co., Ltd.2.51%$0.3391.06%
6691.TWYankey Engineering Co., Ltd.2.51%$13.9262.80%
7483.TDoshisha Co.,Ltd.2.51%$82.9337.87%
GPSC-R.BKGlobal Power Synergy Public Company Limited2.51%$0.9051.48%
HOVE.COHove A/S2.51%$0.1434.71%
NOLA-B.STNolato AB (publ)2.51%$1.5051.20%
0QNH.LHuber+Suhner AG2.50%$3.6149.61%
100840.KSSNT Energy Co., Ltd.2.50%$899.8727.57%
138490.KSKolon Plastics, Inc.2.50%$200.4017.45%
2612.TKadoya Sesame Mills Incorporated2.50%$99.8534.73%
603112.SSShanxi Huaxiang Group Co., Ltd.2.50%$0.4343.19%
603766.SSLoncin Motor Co., Ltd.2.50%$0.4045.87%
ISCTR.ISTürkiye Is Bankasi A.S.2.50%$0.3616.38%
002539.SZChengdu Wintrue Holding Co., Ltd.2.49%$0.2941.75%
2542.TWHighwealth Construction Corp.2.49%$0.9839.34%