Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Banco del Bajío, S.A., Institución de Banca Múltiple (BBAJIOO.MX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$449.29 - $1,624.56$1,424.16
Multi-Stage$208.35 - $227.81$217.90
Blended Fair Value$821.03
Current Price$45.30
Upside1,712.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.62%30.77%5.555.427.791.900.001.710.650.370.390.39
YoY Growth--2.57%-30.47%309.73%0.00%-100.00%163.77%73.03%-3.68%-0.22%2.43%
Dividend Yield--12.46%8.46%11.88%3.48%0.00%8.33%1.69%0.97%1.29%1.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,720.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,875.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,844.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,944.021,215.01729.01
Cash Retained (M)4,844.224,844.224,844.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,944.02-1,215.01-729.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,900.203,629.214,115.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,189.911,189.911,189.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.443.053.46
LTM Dividend per Share4.104.104.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.443.053.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.537.157.56
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$449.29$1,424.16$1,624.56
Upside / Downside891.81%3,043.83%3,486.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,720.1010,351.9111,024.7811,741.3912,504.5813,317.3813,716.90
Payout Ratio50.16%58.13%66.10%74.07%82.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,875.886,017.607,287.138,696.2810,257.8311,985.6412,688.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,569.325,622.115,674.90
Year 2 PV (M)6,241.876,360.766,480.77
Year 3 PV (M)6,893.997,091.897,293.54
Year 4 PV (M)7,526.137,815.568,113.27
Year 5 PV (M)8,138.738,531.838,939.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)213,551.29223,865.89234,575.27
Equity Value (M)247,921.32259,288.04271,077.72
Shares Outstanding (M)1,189.911,189.911,189.91
Fair Value$208.35$217.90$227.81
Upside / Downside359.94%381.03%402.90%

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